Objective

Evidence of an increased dementia risk with insulin use in type 2 diabetes is weakened by confounding by indication and disease severity. Herein we reassess this association, while accounting for confounding through design and analysis.

Research Design and Methods

Using administrative health care data from British Columbia, Canada, we identified patients diagnosed with type 2 diabetes in 1998–2016. To adjust for confounding by diabetes severity through design, we compared new users of insulin to new users of a noninsulin class, both from a restricted cohort of those who previously received two noninsulin antihyperglycemic classes. We further adjusted for confounding using 1) conventional multivariable adjustment and 2) inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) based on the high-dimensional propensity score algorithm. The hazard ratio [HR] (95% CI) of dementia was estimated using cause-specific hazards models with death as a competing risk.

Results

The analytical comparative cohort included 7,863 insulin versus 25,230 noninsulin users. At baseline, insulin users were more likely to have worse health indicators. A total of 78 dementia events occurred over a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 3.9 (5.9) years among insulin users, and 179 events occurred over 4.6 (4.4) years among noninsulin users. The HR (95% CI) of dementia for insulin use versus noninsulin use was 1.68 (1.29–2.20) before adjustment and 1.39 (1.05–1.86) after multivariable adjustment, which was further attenuated to 1.14 (0.81–1.60) after IPTW.

Conclusions

Among individuals with type 2 diabetes previously exposed to two noninsulin antihyperglycemic medications, no significant association was observed between insulin use and all-cause dementia.

This article contains supplementary material online at https://doi.org/10.2337/figshare.22896224.

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