To study the prognosis of people with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes as per the American Diabetes Association (ADA) 2010 definition but without diabetes as per the ADA 2009 definition.
A total of 2,002 participants of the Ludwigshafen Risk and Cardiovascular Health (LURIC) study without a history of diabetes were studied.
During the follow-up of a mean duration ± SD of 7.7 ± 2.0 years, 346 people died (202 cardiovascular deaths). Subjects with type 2 diabetes as per the ADA 2009 definition (n = 468) had significantly increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality compared with people without diabetes as per the ADA 2010 definition (both P ≤ 0.003). Subjects with type 2 diabetes as per the ADA 2010 definition but without diabetes as per the ADA 2009 definition (n = 150) were at significantly increased risk to die of cardiovascular diseases (P = 0.029).
Use of the ADA 2010 diabetes definition may be instrumental in improving cardiovascular risk stratification in people undergoing coronary angiography.
According to the 2009 guidelines of the American Diabetes Association (ADA), subjects with increased fasting glucose (≥126 mg/dL) and/or postchallenge glucose (≥200 mg/dL) are diagnosed with diabetes (1). Using the ADA 2010 criteria, subjects with isolated elevation of glycated hemoglobin ≥6.5% (fasting glucose <126 mg/dL, postchallenge glucose <200 mg/dL) are also considered diabetic individuals (2).
Glycated hemoglobin has been associated with macrovascular disease (3–8). Of particular interest, recent data from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study and the Ludwigshafen Risk and Cardiovascular Health (LURIC) study have shown that glycated hemoglobin is a better predictor for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality than fasting glucose (9,10).
The objective of the present work in 2,002 LURIC participants was to analyze whether subjects with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes as per the ADA 2010 definition who would not have received the diagnosis as per the ADA 2009 definition are at increased risk of death from any cause and from cardiovascular diseases (10,11).
RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS
LURIC is a cross-sectional and prospective clinical trial that was designed to investigate cardiovascular risk factors. A total of 3,316 white subjects were recruited between July 1997 and January 2000 at the Ludwigshafen Heart Center in southwestern Germany (10,11). All participants underwent coronary angiography. The precise inclusion/exclusion criteria have been previously described (10,11). For the present analyses, subjects with known diabetes or incomplete determination of the glucometabolic phenotype (missing 75-g oral glucose tolerance test despite fasting glucose <126 mg/dL) were additionally ruled out. Information on the cause of death was missing for 11 decedents. These people were excluded when data on cardiovascular mortality were analyzed. The study was approved by the ethics committee at the Ärztekammer Rheinland-Pfalz and was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki. Informed written consent was obtained from all participants (10). Diabetes was diagnosed according to the 2009 and 2010 criteria of the ADA (1,2). The follow-up for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality had a mean duration ± SD of 7.7 ± 2.0 years.
Laboratory analyses
Statistical analysis
The baseline clinical and biochemical characteristics are presented for three groups: group A, subjects without diabetes as per the ADA 2010 definition (without diabetes); group B, subjects with type 2 diabetes as per the ADA 2010 definition but without diabetes as per the ADA 2009 definition (T2DM ADA 2010); and group C, subjects with type 2 diabetes as per the ADA 2009 definition (T2DM ADA 2009). Categorical data are expressed as numbers and percentages. In the case of continuous variables, we report means with SDs or medians with interquartile ranges. P values for differences in baseline characteristics among the three groups were calculated with the χ2 test for categorical data and with ANOVA for continuous variables. Triglycerides and insulin were transformed logarithmically before being used in parametric statistical procedures. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to test the relationships of the three groups with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Two predefined models of adjustment were used (model 1: univariate; model 2: adjusted for sex, age, BMI, hypertension, smoking, glomerular filtration rate, triglycerides, LDL cholesterol, and HDL cholesterol). The results are presented as hazard ratios with 95% CIs. All statistical tests were two-sided and P < 0.05 was considered significant. The SPSS 15.0 statistical package (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL) was used.
RESULTS
The clinical and biochemical characteristics of the study participants and data on mortality are shown in Table 1. A total of 346 (17.3%) deaths occurred during the follow-up. Among these, 202 (58.4%) were accounted for by cardiovascular diseases. Compared with subjects without diabetes, people with T2DM ADA 2009 (hazard ratio 2.02 [95% CI 1.61–2.53]; P < 0.001) and those with T2DM ADA 2010 (1.54 [1.05–2.26]; P = 0.028) had increased all-cause mortality. After multivariate adjustment, this association remained significant for individuals with T2DM ADA 2009 (1.62 [1.28–2.04]; P < 0.001) but turned insignificant for those with T2DM ADA 2010 (1.34 [0.91–1.97]; P = 0.141). There was no significant difference in all-cause mortality between subjects with T2DM ADA 2009 and people with T2DM ADA 2010 (P = 0.360, model 2). Compared with subjects without diabetes, subjects with T2DM ADA 2009 (1.99 [1.48–2.69]; P < 0.001) and those with T2DM ADA 2010 (1.98 [1.25–3.13]; P = 0.003) more frequently died of cardiovascular diseases. These associations remained significant after multivariate adjustment for both subjects with T2DM ADA 2009 (1.62 [1.18–2.21]; P = 0.003) and subjects with T2DM ADA 2010 (1.67 [1.05–2.65]; P = 0.029). There was no significant difference in cardiovascular mortality between subjects with T2DM ADA 2009 and subjects with T2DM ADA 2010 (P = 0.894, model 2).
. | No diabetes as per ADA 2010 definition . | T2DM ADA 2010 . | T2DM ADA 2009 . | P value* . |
---|---|---|---|---|
n | 1,384 | 150 | 468 | — |
Male sex | 1,012 (73.1) | 113 (75.3) | 342 (73.1) | 0.839 |
Age (years) | 60.6 ± 10.8 | 62.7 ± 9.2 | 64.6 ± 9.5 | <0.001 |
Fasting glucose (mg/dL) | 98 ± 10 | 103 ± 11 | 125 ± 28 | <0.001 |
Glucose 2 h (mg/dL)† | 125 ± 33 | 137 ± 30 | 238 ± 41 | <0.001 |
Fasting insulin (mU/L) | 8 (6–12) | 9 (6–12) | 12 (8–21) | <0.001‡ |
Hemoglobin A1c (%) | 5.7 ± 0.4 | 6.8 ± 0.5 | 6.5 ± 1.0 | <0.001 |
BMI (kg/m2) | 27.1 ± 3.8 | 28.0 ± 4.3 | 28.2 ± 4.0 | <0.001 |
Waist circumference (cm)§ | 97 ± (12) | 101 ± (11) | 101 ± (11) | <0.001 |
Systemic hypertension | 920 (66.5) | 112 (74.7) | 379 (81.0) | <0.001 |
Blood lipid level (mg/dL) | ||||
Total cholesterol | 196 ± 38 | 189 ± 37 | 193 ± (40) | 0.073 |
LDL cholesterol | 120 ± 35 | 117 ± 31 | 116 ± 34 | 0.097 |
HDL cholesterol | 40 ± 11 | 38 ± 10 | 37 ± 10 | <0.001 |
Triglycerides | 137 (103–190) | 140 (108–187) | 158 (120–222) | <0.001‡ |
Glomerular filtration rate (mL/min/1.73 m2) | 84 ± 17 | 80 ± 18 | 81 ± 18 | <0.001 |
Smoking | 0.074 | |||
Never | 501 (36.2) | 48 (32.0) | 153 (32.7) | — |
Former smoker | 597 (43.1) | 64 (42.7) | 232 (49.6) | — |
Current smoker | 286 (20.7) | 38 (25.3) | 83 (17.7) | — |
Coronary artery disease (50% stenosis) | 869 (62.8) | 102 (68.0) | 344 (73.5) | <0.001 |
Medication use | ||||
β-Blocker | 889 (64.2) | 88 (58.7) | 303 (64.7) | 0.369 |
ACE inhibitor | 667 (48.2) | 78 (52.0) | 258 (55.1) | 0.031 |
Calcium antagonist | 180 (13.0) | 19 (12.7) | 87 (18.6) | 0.010 |
Diuretic | 250 (18.1) | 43 (28.7) | 166 (35.5) | <0.001 |
Statin | 656 (47.4) | 75 (50.0) | 234 (50.0) | 0.561 |
Acetyl salicylic acid | 983 (71.0) | 118 (78.7) | 322 (68.8) | 0.068 |
Mortality | ||||
All-cause death | 194 (14.0) | 30 (20.0) | 122 (26.3) | — |
Cardiovascular death|| | 111 (8.1) | 22 (14.8) | 69 (14.9) | — |
. | No diabetes as per ADA 2010 definition . | T2DM ADA 2010 . | T2DM ADA 2009 . | P value* . |
---|---|---|---|---|
n | 1,384 | 150 | 468 | — |
Male sex | 1,012 (73.1) | 113 (75.3) | 342 (73.1) | 0.839 |
Age (years) | 60.6 ± 10.8 | 62.7 ± 9.2 | 64.6 ± 9.5 | <0.001 |
Fasting glucose (mg/dL) | 98 ± 10 | 103 ± 11 | 125 ± 28 | <0.001 |
Glucose 2 h (mg/dL)† | 125 ± 33 | 137 ± 30 | 238 ± 41 | <0.001 |
Fasting insulin (mU/L) | 8 (6–12) | 9 (6–12) | 12 (8–21) | <0.001‡ |
Hemoglobin A1c (%) | 5.7 ± 0.4 | 6.8 ± 0.5 | 6.5 ± 1.0 | <0.001 |
BMI (kg/m2) | 27.1 ± 3.8 | 28.0 ± 4.3 | 28.2 ± 4.0 | <0.001 |
Waist circumference (cm)§ | 97 ± (12) | 101 ± (11) | 101 ± (11) | <0.001 |
Systemic hypertension | 920 (66.5) | 112 (74.7) | 379 (81.0) | <0.001 |
Blood lipid level (mg/dL) | ||||
Total cholesterol | 196 ± 38 | 189 ± 37 | 193 ± (40) | 0.073 |
LDL cholesterol | 120 ± 35 | 117 ± 31 | 116 ± 34 | 0.097 |
HDL cholesterol | 40 ± 11 | 38 ± 10 | 37 ± 10 | <0.001 |
Triglycerides | 137 (103–190) | 140 (108–187) | 158 (120–222) | <0.001‡ |
Glomerular filtration rate (mL/min/1.73 m2) | 84 ± 17 | 80 ± 18 | 81 ± 18 | <0.001 |
Smoking | 0.074 | |||
Never | 501 (36.2) | 48 (32.0) | 153 (32.7) | — |
Former smoker | 597 (43.1) | 64 (42.7) | 232 (49.6) | — |
Current smoker | 286 (20.7) | 38 (25.3) | 83 (17.7) | — |
Coronary artery disease (50% stenosis) | 869 (62.8) | 102 (68.0) | 344 (73.5) | <0.001 |
Medication use | ||||
β-Blocker | 889 (64.2) | 88 (58.7) | 303 (64.7) | 0.369 |
ACE inhibitor | 667 (48.2) | 78 (52.0) | 258 (55.1) | 0.031 |
Calcium antagonist | 180 (13.0) | 19 (12.7) | 87 (18.6) | 0.010 |
Diuretic | 250 (18.1) | 43 (28.7) | 166 (35.5) | <0.001 |
Statin | 656 (47.4) | 75 (50.0) | 234 (50.0) | 0.561 |
Acetyl salicylic acid | 983 (71.0) | 118 (78.7) | 322 (68.8) | 0.068 |
Mortality | ||||
All-cause death | 194 (14.0) | 30 (20.0) | 122 (26.3) | — |
Cardiovascular death|| | 111 (8.1) | 22 (14.8) | 69 (14.9) | — |
Data are n (%) in cases of categorical data and means ± SDs or medians (25th–75th percentiles) in cases of continuous variables.
*χ2 test and ANOVA for categorical and continuous data, respectively.
†n = 1,384/150/238.
‡ANOVA of logarithmically transformed values.
§n = 1,363/149/461.
||n = 1,378/149/464.
CONCLUSIONS
The current study shows that LURIC participants with newly diagnosed T2DM ADA 2010 have increased cardiovascular mortality compared with those without diabetes. Of importance, there were no differences in mortality rates for cardiovascular disease between LURIC participants with T2DM ADA 2009 and those with T2DM ADA 2010. In agreement, subjects with T2DM ADA 2009 and people with T2DM ADA 2010 had a similar cardiovascular risk factor profile.
There is broad evidence that type 2 diabetes will increase the risk of cardiovascular death (12–14). Thus far, only subjects with elevated fasting or postchallenge glucose were diagnosed with diabetes (1). However, fasting and postchallenge glucose have high intraindividual variability (15). Hence, the sensitivity of these tests to select subjects with disturbance of glucose metabolism is not optimal.
Our data support that the use of glycated hemoglobin at a cut point of ≥6.5% as an additional criterion for the diagnosis of diabetes may improve cardiovascular risk stratification in subjects referred for coronary angiography. Future studies should attempt to answer the question whether measurement of glycated hemoglobin will obviate the need for oral glucose tolerance testing.
Acknowledgments
B.O.B. has received grants from the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (GrK 1041) and the Centre of Excellence “Metabolic Diseases” Baden-Wuerttemberg. The LURIC study has received funding through the 6th Framework Program (integrated project Bloodomics, Grant LSHM-CT-2004-503485) and the 7th Framework Program (integrated project Atheroremo, Grant 201668) of the European Union.
No potential conflicts of interest relevant to this article were reported.
G.S. performed the statistical analysis and wrote the manuscript. M.E.K. performed the statistical analysis. T.B.G. contributed to the interpretation of results and reviewed the manuscript. B.R.W. designed the study. B.O.B. and W.M. designed the study and wrote the manuscript. All authors have read and approved the manuscript as submitted and take responsibility for the content of the article.
Parts of this study were presented in abstract form at the 79th Congress of the European Atherosclerosis Society, Gothenburg, Sweden, 26–29 June 2011.
The authors are grateful to the participants of the LURIC study; without their collaboration, this article would not have been written. The authors also thank the LURIC study team either temporarily or permanently involved in patient recruitment and sample and data handling, the laboratory staff at the Ludwigshafen General Hospital, and the Universities of Freiburg and Ulm.