OBJECTIVE

To assess the relationship between body fat distribution and incident lower-extremity arterial disease (LEAD).

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We included 155,925 postmenopausal women with anthropometric measures from the Women’s Health Initiative who had no known LEAD at recruitment. A subset of 10,894 participants had body composition data quantified by DXA. Incident cases of symptomatic LEAD were ascertained and adjudicated through medical record review.

RESULTS

We identified 1,152 incident cases of LEAD during a median 18.8 years follow-up. After multivariable adjustment and mutual adjustment, waist and hip circumferences were positively and inversely associated with risk of LEAD, respectively (both P-trend < 0.0001). In a subset (n = 22,561) where various cardiometabolic biomarkers were quantified, a similar positive association of waist circumference with risk of LEAD was eliminated after adjustment for diabetes and HOMA of insulin resistance (P-trend = 0.89), whereas hip circumference remained inversely associated with the risk after adjustment for major cardiometabolic traits (P-trend = 0.0031). In the DXA subset, higher trunk fat (P-trend = 0.0081) and higher leg fat (P-trend < 0.0001) were associated with higher and lower risk of LEAD, respectively. Further adjustment for diabetes, dyslipidemia, and blood pressure diminished the association for trunk fat (P-trend = 0.49), yet the inverse association for leg fat persisted (P-trend = 0.0082).

CONCLUSIONS

Among U.S. postmenopausal women, a positive association of upper-body fat with risk of LEAD appeared to be attributable to traditional risk factors, especially insulin resistance. Lower-body fat was inversely associated with risk of LEAD beyond known risk factors.

Following coronary heart disease (CHD) and ischemic stroke, lower-extremity arterial disease (LEAD) ranks as the third leading atherosclerotic disease worldwide (13). In the U.S., an estimated 7.2% (∼8.5 million) of adults aged ≥40 years are affected by LEAD (3). LEAD is an important complication for diabetes and shares several additional risk factors (i.e., smoking, hypertension, dyslipidemia) with other atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD) (1,4). While obesity (especially abdominal obesity) is well recognized as a risk factor for atherosclerotic CVD (5), the association of obesity with risk of LEAD remains unclear.

Only a few studies have assessed overall adiposity, as defined by BMI, or abdominal adiposity, as reflected by waist size or waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), in relation to risk of LEAD, and the findings are mixed. Some found that both types of obesity were associated with higher risk of LEAD (68) and that the associations appeared to be largely (6) or totally (7) dependent on known clinical risk factors for LEAD. Other studies showed no clear associations between BMI (914) or waist circumference and risk of LEAD (12,13). It is notable that biological functions of adipose tissue may be location specific. Upper- and lower-body fat depots have been widely demonstrated to have opposite impacts (i.e., detrimental vs. beneficial) on various metabolic processes, including glycemic control and lipid storage (1518). Thus, it is important to consider both the amount and the location of body fat when assessing the health consequence of excess body fat accumulation. Furthermore, anthropometric measures are known to have a limited ability to distinguish between fat mass and fat-free mass. Thus, use of DXA-derived data on regional fat mass may improve the understanding of the association between body fat distribution and risk of LEAD.

In the Women’s Health Initiative (WHI), a large prospective study of U.S. postmenopausal women (19), we examined the association of body fat distribution with risk of LEAD. In addition to traditional anthropometric measures commonly used in other obesity studies, we further evaluated the relationship between DXA-determined body fat mass and risk of LEAD.

Study Design and Population

Details of the WHI design and study population have been reported elsewhere (19). Briefly, between 1993 and 1998, 161,808 postmenopausal women aged 50–79 years were recruited at 40 clinical centers throughout the U.S. Participants were either enrolled in the WHI Observational Study or in one or more of the WHI clinical trials that evaluated the health effects of hormone therapy (two trials), low-fat diet modification, and/or calcium and vitamin D supplementation. After the end of the initial WHI study in 2005, the first (2005–2010) and the second (2010–2020) WHI extension studies continued follow-up of all women who consented. The study was approved by the institutional review boards of all participating institutions, and all participants provided written informed consent at initial enrollment and for the extension studies.

For the current analysis, we excluded 3,270 participants with self-reported LEAD at baseline, 1,967 participants without anthropometric measures, and 646 participants missing follow-up information for incident LEAD. The final analytic sample comprised 155,925 participants (Fig. 1).

Figure 1

Flow diagram of participant selection.

Figure 1

Flow diagram of participant selection.

Close modal

Assessments of Anthropometric Measures and Body Composition

Weight and height were measured without shoes on a beam scale to the nearest 0.1 kg and a wall-mounted stadiometer to the nearest 0.1 cm, respectively (20). Waist and hip circumferences were measured at the umbilicus and at the maximum circumference, respectively, to the nearest 0.1 cm (20). BMI was calculated as weight in kilograms divided by the square of height in meters (kg/m2), and WHR was the ratio of the circumference of the waist to that of the hips.

At enrollment, a subset of 11,393 participants (10,894 were in the present analysis) (Fig. 1) underwent whole-body DXA scans at three designated WHI clinical centers (Birmingham, AL; Tucson/Phoenix, AZ; and Pittsburgh, PA), where participants’ body compositions, including whole-body and regional fat mass, bone mass, and lean mass, were determined using the fan-beam mode of QDR 2000, 2000+, or 4500 scanners (Hologic, Waltham, MA). Standard WHI protocols were used for the positioning and analysis of the DXA scans by trained and certified radiology technicians. More details regarding the procedures and quality control of the DXA scans have been presented elsewhere (21). Participants in the DXA study had a lower socioeconomic status but similar anthropometric measures compared with participants of the whole sample (Supplementary Table 1).

Outcome Ascertainment

The outcome of interest in our analysis was incident symptomatic LEAD. Participants reported overnight hospitalizations and emergency department visits on medical update forms collected semiannually, and corresponding medical records were scrutinized for the potential outcome of interest (22). Locally and/or centrally trained physician adjudicators classified outcomes from medical record review. Potential cases were confirmed by multiple procedures (Supplementary Table 2). Most (94.0%) of the incident cases of LEAD were confirmed by one or both of the following: 1) surgery, angioplasty, or thrombolysis for LEAD and 2) obstruction or ulcerated plaque (i.e., ≥50% of the diameter or ≥75% of the cross-sectional area) demonstrated on ultrasound or angiogram of the iliac arteries or below.

Assessments of Covariates and Biomarkers

Information on demographic and socioeconomic characteristics; reproductive, medical, and family histories; cigarette smoking; and alcohol drinking was collected at baseline through self-report. Dietary intake was assessed from a self-administered, validated, food frequency questionnaire (23). Recreational physical activity was quantified using the WHI physical activity questionnaire, and the data were summarized in MET-h/week (24). Systolic and diastolic blood pressure were measured through auscultation using a conventional sphygmomanometer after participants rested quietly for 5 min in a clinic room without excessive noise, and the average of two measures taken at least 30 s apart was recorded (25). Previous diagnosis and treatment of hypertension, hyperlipidemia, or diabetes were reported through a questionnaire. Participants were also instructed to bring prescription medication containers during the baseline screening interview. Dyslipidemia was defined as a report of a physician’s diagnosis of hyperlipidemia or recorded statin use.

A subset of 24,208 participants (22,561 were in the present analysis) (Fig. 1) constituted the WHI CVD Biomarker Study, where White women were randomly drawn from the hormone therapy trial, and non-White women were selected from all parts of the WHI to maximize ethnic diversity. As a result, 35.6% and 16.5% of the participants in this subcohort were African American and Hispanic/Latina, respectively. Along with the diverse ethnic backgrounds, participants in the WHI CVD Biomarker Study had a lower socioeconomic status, higher rates of hypertension and diabetes, and slightly higher levels of anthropometric measures than participants of the whole sample (Supplementary Table 1). Using fasting blood samples collected at baseline, serum glucose and insulin, major lipids, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) were quantified. HOMA of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) was derived from glucose and insulin measurements (21). Other biomarkers, including serum/plasma fatty acids, apolipoproteins, LDL and HDL (with information on both concentration and size of lipoproteins), sex hormone–binding globulin, and adiponectin were quantified in a number of case-control studies nested within the WHI. These measurements of biomarkers have been found to be reproducible and have acceptable coefficients of variation in quality control studies (Supplementary Table 3).

Statistical Analysis

Baseline characteristics of study participants were described by quartiles of waist and hip circumference, respectively. Measures of waist and hip circumference were substantially correlated (Pearson r = 0.79). Thus, participant characteristics according to quartile of waist circumference were standardized to the levels of hip circumference (5-cm intervals), and data by quartile of hip circumference were standardized to the levels of waist circumference (5-cm intervals). Pearson partial correlations between anthropometric measures and body fat mass were calculated, with adjustment for age, race/ethnicity, and study group.

Cox proportional hazards models estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs of LEAD for each anthropometric measure. Person-time of follow-up was calculated from the date of enrollment to the date of diagnosis of LEAD, death, withdrawal from the study, or end of the most recent follow-up (March 2019), whichever came first. The first model was adjusted for age, race/ethnicity, education, annual family income, and study group. The second (full) model was additionally adjusted for smoking status, pack-years of smoking, alcohol consumption, recreational physical activity, diet-quality score (Alternate Healthy Eating Index-2010, excluding alcohol), hormone therapy, aspirin use, use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug, history of CHD or stroke, and height (not for BMI). We used height as an indicator of total body size because of the high correlations among BMI and waist and hip circumference (Supplementary Fig. 1). An additional exploratory analysis further adjusted for potential intermediate factors, including dyslipidemia, antihypertensive drugs, systolic blood pressure, and reported diabetes. For all models, waist and hip circumferences were mutually adjusted for each other by adding both measures in the same Cox model.

Potential nonlinearity for the examined associations was evaluated using restricted cubic spline models with three knots at the 10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles of the distributions. The main analyses (model 2) for waist and hip circumference were further stratified and tested for potential interactions with age, race/ethnicity, smoking status, BMI, recreational physical activity, hormone use at baseline, years since menopause, and study group. Several sensitivity analyses were performed by excluding 1) incident cases of LEAD that were identified within the first 5 or 10 years of follow-up, 2) participants who were not diagnosed with LEAD and died as a result of CVD during the follow-up period because CVD deaths may have occurred competitively with LEAD, and 3) participants with self-reported CHD or stroke at baseline. Given the high correlation between waist and hip circumference, we also derived (relative) measures of predicted waist circumference and predicted hip circumference and assessed their associations with risk of LEAD. The measure of predicted waist circumference was the residuals from a multivariable linear regression model in which waist circumference was regressed against hip circumference and age, study group, race, smoking status, and hormone use at baseline, and the measure was not associated with hip circumference (r <0.0001). The measure of predicted hip circumference was likewise derived and was not associated with waist circumference (r <0.0001).

Next, we examined associations of waist and hip circumference with the multiple cardiometabolic biomarkers described above. Biomarker concentrations were transformed using a rank-based inverse normal transformation to approximate a normal distribution. The associations were examined using Pearson partial correlations after multivariable adjustment. Then, we examined the associations of waist and hip circumference with risk of LEAD among 22,561 participants from the WHI CVD Biomarker Study and adjusted the associations for various metabolic factors (i.e., hs-CRP, antihypertensive drugs and systolic blood pressure, reported diabetes and HOMA-IR, dyslipidemia and serum major lipids) both individually and concordantly.

Finally, we analyzed body composition data available from a subset of 10,894 participants. Whole-body and regional (trunk and leg) fat mass as well as the ratio of trunk-to-leg fat mass were examined for association with risk of LEAD. Because of the positive correlations between body fat mass and lean mass (e.g., r = 0.45 between trunk fat mass and trunk lean mass), the multivariable models for these analyses further included whole-body or regional lean mass (e.g., the analysis for leg fat mass was further adjusted for leg lean mass) to address the possibility of residual confounding by body lean mass. Statistical analyses were performed using Stata 15.1 software (StataCorp).

Participant Characteristics

Participants with higher waist circumference were older, had lower levels of education and family income, were more likely to be current smokers, and were less likely to be using hormone therapy at baseline (Table 1). Those with higher waist circumference were also more likely to have hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes, and CHD/stroke. Conversely, after adjusting for waist circumference, distributions of these participant characteristics by hip circumference were in directions opposite to the distributions by waist circumference. Higher waist circumference and higher hip circumference were both associated with a lower level of recreational physical activity and a lower diet-quality score.

Table 1

Baseline participant characteristics according to quartile of waist or hip circumference in the WHI (n = 155,925)

Waist circumferenceHip circumference
Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4
Age, years 60.8 62.8 64.1 64.9 65.7 63.8 62.4 61.1 
Race/ethnicity         
 White 84.8 82.5 78.8 81.1 80.4 84.2 84.3 80.1 
 Black/African American 8.4 8.9 11.3 11.0 7.0 8.2 9.4 14.6 
 Hispanic/Latina 3.2 4.1 4.6 4.0 4.3 4.1 3.7 3.4 
 Other/unknown 3.6 4.5 5.2 3.9 8.4 3.5 2.6 1.9 
Education ≥ college degree 47.2 43.0 36.7 32.0 39.1 40.2 40.1 41.3 
Annual family income ≥$50,000 49.1 43.8 35.8 31.2 38.1 40.0 42.0 42.0 
Smoking status         
 Never 56.9 52.0 51.0 47.3 49.3 50.4 52.2 55.1 
 Former 37.0 41.3 41.1 44.3 41.1 42.0 41.7 39.8 
 Current 6.1 6.7 7.8 8.4 9.5 7.6 6.1 5.1 
Moderate alcohol consumption* 19.9 18.6 15.4 12.5 17.4 17.0 17.4 15.6 
Recreational PA, MET-h/week 15.0 13.1 11.3 9.9 13.6 12.8 12.0 10.9 
AHEI-2010 (excluding alcohol) 49.1 47.9 46.7 45.7 47.8 47.4 47.2 46.8 
Hormone replacement therapy         
 Never 36.1 40.8 45.8 50.9 44.7 42.9 41.8 44.5 
 Former 14.0 15.8 17.3 17.8 17.5 16.5 16.2 14.5 
 Current 50.0 43.4 37.0 31.3 37.8 40.5 42.1 40.9 
Hypertension 27.0 33.2 44.8 52.2 41.3 38.8 36.8 37.7 
Dyslipidemia 11.3 13.1 18.2 21.8 18.6 17.0 13.9 12.8 
Reported diabetes 3.0 2.7 6.9 15.8 10.6 7.7 6.1 5.5 
Reported CHD or stroke 1.6 3.4 5.3 6.9 5.8 4.7 3.8 3.3 
Study group         
 WHI observational study 61.3 59.4 55.2 51.7 63.3 59.1 54.9 51.7 
 Control of WHI clinical trials 15.1 16.0 17.6 18.5 14.5 16.0 17.3 17.9 
 Active arms of WHI clinical trials 23.6 24.6 27.1 29.8 22.2 24.9 27.8 30.5 
Anthropometric measures         
 BMI, kg/m2 22.4 25.5 28.7 34.8 22.5 25.4 28.5 34.9 
 Waist circumference, cm 72.6 81.1 89.5 101.6 73.8 81.1 88.2 101.6 
 Hip circumference, cm 95.5 101.9 107.8 119.8 94.9 102.1 108.5 119.2 
 WHR 0.74 0.79 0.83 0.88 0.80 0.80 0.82 0.83 
 Height, cm 161.0 161.8 161.9 162.5 159.7 161.9 162.6 162.8 
Waist circumferenceHip circumference
Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4
Age, years 60.8 62.8 64.1 64.9 65.7 63.8 62.4 61.1 
Race/ethnicity         
 White 84.8 82.5 78.8 81.1 80.4 84.2 84.3 80.1 
 Black/African American 8.4 8.9 11.3 11.0 7.0 8.2 9.4 14.6 
 Hispanic/Latina 3.2 4.1 4.6 4.0 4.3 4.1 3.7 3.4 
 Other/unknown 3.6 4.5 5.2 3.9 8.4 3.5 2.6 1.9 
Education ≥ college degree 47.2 43.0 36.7 32.0 39.1 40.2 40.1 41.3 
Annual family income ≥$50,000 49.1 43.8 35.8 31.2 38.1 40.0 42.0 42.0 
Smoking status         
 Never 56.9 52.0 51.0 47.3 49.3 50.4 52.2 55.1 
 Former 37.0 41.3 41.1 44.3 41.1 42.0 41.7 39.8 
 Current 6.1 6.7 7.8 8.4 9.5 7.6 6.1 5.1 
Moderate alcohol consumption* 19.9 18.6 15.4 12.5 17.4 17.0 17.4 15.6 
Recreational PA, MET-h/week 15.0 13.1 11.3 9.9 13.6 12.8 12.0 10.9 
AHEI-2010 (excluding alcohol) 49.1 47.9 46.7 45.7 47.8 47.4 47.2 46.8 
Hormone replacement therapy         
 Never 36.1 40.8 45.8 50.9 44.7 42.9 41.8 44.5 
 Former 14.0 15.8 17.3 17.8 17.5 16.5 16.2 14.5 
 Current 50.0 43.4 37.0 31.3 37.8 40.5 42.1 40.9 
Hypertension 27.0 33.2 44.8 52.2 41.3 38.8 36.8 37.7 
Dyslipidemia 11.3 13.1 18.2 21.8 18.6 17.0 13.9 12.8 
Reported diabetes 3.0 2.7 6.9 15.8 10.6 7.7 6.1 5.5 
Reported CHD or stroke 1.6 3.4 5.3 6.9 5.8 4.7 3.8 3.3 
Study group         
 WHI observational study 61.3 59.4 55.2 51.7 63.3 59.1 54.9 51.7 
 Control of WHI clinical trials 15.1 16.0 17.6 18.5 14.5 16.0 17.3 17.9 
 Active arms of WHI clinical trials 23.6 24.6 27.1 29.8 22.2 24.9 27.8 30.5 
Anthropometric measures         
 BMI, kg/m2 22.4 25.5 28.7 34.8 22.5 25.4 28.5 34.9 
 Waist circumference, cm 72.6 81.1 89.5 101.6 73.8 81.1 88.2 101.6 
 Hip circumference, cm 95.5 101.9 107.8 119.8 94.9 102.1 108.5 119.2 
 WHR 0.74 0.79 0.83 0.88 0.80 0.80 0.82 0.83 
 Height, cm 161.0 161.8 161.9 162.5 159.7 161.9 162.6 162.8 

Data are mean for continuous variables and % for categorical variables. All results (except for anthropometric measures) by quartile of waist circumference were standardized to hip circumference (5-cm interval) and vice versa. AHEI, Alternate Healthy Eating Index; NA, not applicable; PA, physical activity.

*

Alcohol consumption of 5–15 g/day.

BMI, waist circumference, and hip circumference were highly correlated with one another (r = 0.79 to ∼0.85) (Supplementary Fig. 1). Correlations between BMI and whole-body fat mass (r = 0.90), waist circumference and trunk fat mass (r = 0.87), and hip circumference and leg fat mass (r = 0.71) were also substantial. WHR was moderately correlated with the ratio of trunk-to-leg fat mass (r = 0.56).

Anthropometric Measures and Risk of LEAD

During up to 25.1 years of follow-up (median 18.8 years), 1,152 incident cases of LEAD were identified. After multivariable adjustment for demographic and socioeconomic factors, lifestyle behaviors, and height in addition to mutual adjustment for one another, waist and hip circumferences exhibited opposite (i.e., positive vs. inverse) associations with risk of LEAD (model 2 in Table 2). The multivariable-adjusted HRs comparing the highest with the lowest quartiles were 2.62 (95% CI 2.04–3.36) for waist circumference (P-trend < 0.0001) and 0.41 (95% CI 0.32–0.51) for hip circumference (P-trend <0.0001). After further adjustment for reported diabetes, dyslipidemia, and blood pressure measures, the association between waist circumference and LEAD was substantially attenuated (HRQ4 vs. Q1 1.57 [95% CI 1.21–2.03]; P-trend = 0.0009), but the association between hip circumference and LEAD did not change materially (HRQ4 vs. Q1 0.46 [95% CI 0.36–0.58]; P-trend < 0.0001). There was no clear evidence for a nonlinear association between waist or hip circumference and risk of LEAD (Supplementary Fig. 2).

Table 2

Anthropometric measures and risk of LEAD in the WHI (n = 155,925)

Quartile
Q1Q2Q3Q4P-trendContinuous*
Waist circumference       
 Median (range), cm 71.0 (<76.0) 80.0 (76.0–84.4) 89.0 (84.5–94.7) 102.5 (≥94.8)   
 Cases, n 185 276 318 373   
 Person-years 603,801 672,968 614,014 579,174   
 Model 1 1.00 (Referent) 1.53 (1.25–1.86) 2.25 (1.81–2.79) 3.54 (2.77–4.52) <0.0001 1.32 (1.25–1.38) 
 Model 2 1.00 (Referent) 1.37 (1.12–1.67) 1.81 (1.46–2.25) 2.62 (2.04–3.36) <0.0001 1.24 (1.17–1.31) 
 Model 2 + metabolic factors 1.00 (Referent) 1.19 (0.97–1.45) 1.33 (1.07–1.66) 1.57 (1.21–2.03) 0.0009 1.09 (1.02–1.16) 
Hip circumference       
 Median (range), cm 94.0 (<97.9) 101.0 (98.0–104.5) 108.0 (104.5–112.4) 120.0 (≥112.5)   
 Cases, n 302 296 269 285   
 Person-years 578,405 666,418 616,119 609,014   
 Model 1 1.00 (Referent) 0.62 (0.52–0.74) 0.44 (0.36–0.54) 0.32 (0.26–0.41) <0.0001 0.73 (0.68–0.78) 
 Model 2 1.00 (Referent) 0.69 (0.58–0.83) 0.53 (0.43–0.65) 0.41 (0.32–0.51) <0.0001 0.77 (0.71–0.82) 
 Model 2 + metabolic factors 1.00 (Referent) 0.73 (0.61–0.88) 0.60 (0.49–0.73) 0.46 (0.36–0.58) <0.0001 0.79 (0.73–0.86) 
WHR       
 Median (range) 0.73 (<0.76) 0.78 (0.76–0.80) 0.83 (0.81–0.85) 0.90 (≥0.86)   
 Cases, n 150 246 310 446   
 Person-years 662,181 632,842 606,787 568,146   
 Model 1 1.00 (Referent) 1.47 (1.20–1.80) 1.72 (1.42–2.10) 2.41 (2.00–2.91) <0.0001 1.25 (1.20–1.31) 
 Model 2 1.00 (Referent) 1.30 (1.06–1.59) 1.45 (1.19–1.76) 1.88 (1.55–2.27) <0.0001 1.21 (1.14–1.27) 
 Model 2 + metabolic factors 1.00 (Referent) 1.20 (0.97–1.47) 1.20 (0.98–1.46) 1.31 (1.08–1.60) 0.0090 1.09 (1.02–1.16) 
BMI       
 Median (range), kg/m2 22.0 (<23.7) 25.3 (23.7–26.8) 28.7 (26.9–31.0) 34.6 (≥31.1)   
 Cases, n 254 303 295 300   
 Person-years 636,857 632,391 613,767 586,941   
 Model 1 1.00 (Referent) 1.09 (0.92–1.28) 0.97 (0.82–1.15) 0.98 (0.83–1.17) 0.53 0.95 (0.90–1.01) 
 Model 2 1.00 (Referent) 1.10 (0.93–1.31) 0.98 (0.83–1.16) 0.98 (0.82–1.17) 0.47 0.95 (0.90–1.00) 
 Model 2 + metabolic factors 1.00 (Referent) 0.98 (0.83–1.16) 0.79 (0.67–0.94) 0.67 (0.55–0.80) <0.0001 0.84 (0.79–0.89) 
Quartile
Q1Q2Q3Q4P-trendContinuous*
Waist circumference       
 Median (range), cm 71.0 (<76.0) 80.0 (76.0–84.4) 89.0 (84.5–94.7) 102.5 (≥94.8)   
 Cases, n 185 276 318 373   
 Person-years 603,801 672,968 614,014 579,174   
 Model 1 1.00 (Referent) 1.53 (1.25–1.86) 2.25 (1.81–2.79) 3.54 (2.77–4.52) <0.0001 1.32 (1.25–1.38) 
 Model 2 1.00 (Referent) 1.37 (1.12–1.67) 1.81 (1.46–2.25) 2.62 (2.04–3.36) <0.0001 1.24 (1.17–1.31) 
 Model 2 + metabolic factors 1.00 (Referent) 1.19 (0.97–1.45) 1.33 (1.07–1.66) 1.57 (1.21–2.03) 0.0009 1.09 (1.02–1.16) 
Hip circumference       
 Median (range), cm 94.0 (<97.9) 101.0 (98.0–104.5) 108.0 (104.5–112.4) 120.0 (≥112.5)   
 Cases, n 302 296 269 285   
 Person-years 578,405 666,418 616,119 609,014   
 Model 1 1.00 (Referent) 0.62 (0.52–0.74) 0.44 (0.36–0.54) 0.32 (0.26–0.41) <0.0001 0.73 (0.68–0.78) 
 Model 2 1.00 (Referent) 0.69 (0.58–0.83) 0.53 (0.43–0.65) 0.41 (0.32–0.51) <0.0001 0.77 (0.71–0.82) 
 Model 2 + metabolic factors 1.00 (Referent) 0.73 (0.61–0.88) 0.60 (0.49–0.73) 0.46 (0.36–0.58) <0.0001 0.79 (0.73–0.86) 
WHR       
 Median (range) 0.73 (<0.76) 0.78 (0.76–0.80) 0.83 (0.81–0.85) 0.90 (≥0.86)   
 Cases, n 150 246 310 446   
 Person-years 662,181 632,842 606,787 568,146   
 Model 1 1.00 (Referent) 1.47 (1.20–1.80) 1.72 (1.42–2.10) 2.41 (2.00–2.91) <0.0001 1.25 (1.20–1.31) 
 Model 2 1.00 (Referent) 1.30 (1.06–1.59) 1.45 (1.19–1.76) 1.88 (1.55–2.27) <0.0001 1.21 (1.14–1.27) 
 Model 2 + metabolic factors 1.00 (Referent) 1.20 (0.97–1.47) 1.20 (0.98–1.46) 1.31 (1.08–1.60) 0.0090 1.09 (1.02–1.16) 
BMI       
 Median (range), kg/m2 22.0 (<23.7) 25.3 (23.7–26.8) 28.7 (26.9–31.0) 34.6 (≥31.1)   
 Cases, n 254 303 295 300   
 Person-years 636,857 632,391 613,767 586,941   
 Model 1 1.00 (Referent) 1.09 (0.92–1.28) 0.97 (0.82–1.15) 0.98 (0.83–1.17) 0.53 0.95 (0.90–1.01) 
 Model 2 1.00 (Referent) 1.10 (0.93–1.31) 0.98 (0.83–1.16) 0.98 (0.82–1.17) 0.47 0.95 (0.90–1.00) 
 Model 2 + metabolic factors 1.00 (Referent) 0.98 (0.83–1.16) 0.79 (0.67–0.94) 0.67 (0.55–0.80) <0.0001 0.84 (0.79–0.89) 

Data are HR (95% CI) unless otherwise indicated. Model 1 was adjusted for age (years), race/ethnicity (White, Black/African American, Hispanic/Latina, other/unknown), education (at most high school, some college, college or above), annual family income (<$20,000, $20,000 to <$50,000, $50,000 to <$75,000, ≥$75,000), and study group (three variables with each being classified as observational, control, and intervention). Model 2 was adjusted for covariates in model 1 plus smoking status (never, former, current), pack-years of smoking (for current smokers), alcohol consumption (0, 0 to <5, 5 to <15, 15 to <25, ≥25 g/day), recreational physical activity (MET-h/week), diet-quality score (Alternate Healthy Eating Index-2010, excluding alcohol), hormone replacement therapy (never, former, current [<5, 5 to <10, 10 to <15, ≥15 years]), aspirin use (never, ever), use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug (never, ever), history of CHD or stroke (yes, no), and height (cm; not for BMI).

*

Scales are 10 cm for waist and hip circumference, 0.1 for WHR, and 5 kg/m2 for BMI.

Waist and hip circumferences were mutually adjusted for each other.

Including reported diabetes (yes, no), dyslipidemia (yes, no), use of antihypertensive drugs (yes, no), and systolic blood pressure (mmHg).

WHR remained associated with a moderately higher risk of LEAD after multivariable adjustment and further adjustment for reported diabetes, dyslipidemia, and blood pressure measures (Table 2). There was no association between BMI and risk of LEAD after the multivariable adjustment (P-trend = 0.47). However, BMI was inversely associated with risk of LEAD after further adjustment for reported diabetes, dyslipidemia, and blood pressure (HRQ4 vs. Q1 0.67 [95% CI 0.55–0.80]; P-trend < 0.0001).

The positive association of waist circumference and the inverse association of hip circumference with risk of LEAD were observed across various population subgroups defined by baseline participant characteristics as well as in a number of sensitivity analyses (Fig. 2). Both associations appeared to vary by smoking status. The association for waist circumference was stronger in never smokers than in former or current smokers (P-interaction = 0.0001), while the association for hip circumference was most pronounced in current smokers (P-interaction = 0.0005). The measures of predicted waist circumference and predicted hip circumference were also oppositely (i.e., positively and inversely) associated with risk of LEAD (Supplementary Table 4).

Figure 2

Subgroup and sensitivity analyses for the association of waist or hip circumference with risk of LEAD. Results are for each additional 10-cm increment in waist or hip circumference, with adjustment for covariates listed for model 2 of Table 2 (where appropriate). OS, Observational Study; PA, physical activity; P-int, P value for interaction.

Figure 2

Subgroup and sensitivity analyses for the association of waist or hip circumference with risk of LEAD. Results are for each additional 10-cm increment in waist or hip circumference, with adjustment for covariates listed for model 2 of Table 2 (where appropriate). OS, Observational Study; PA, physical activity; P-int, P value for interaction.

Close modal

Waist circumference was moderately associated with various biomarkers (especially HOMA-IR, r = 0.40) in directions that may increase cardiometabolic risk (Supplementary Fig. 3). Conversely, hip circumference was associated with these biomarkers, although modestly, in risk-decreasing directions. There were 334 incident cases of LEAD among the 22,561 participants of the WHI CVD Biomarker Study. In this subset, similar to the results in the whole study sample, waist and hip circumferences were positively and inversely associated with risk of LEAD, respectively, after multivariable adjustment (model 2 in Table 3). The association of waist circumference with risk of LEAD was attenuated or eliminated after further adjustment for metabolic factors, especially reported diabetes and HOMA-IR (HRQ4 vs. Q1 1.01 [95% CI 0.62–1.64]; P-trend = 0.89). For hip circumference, the association was not substantially altered after adjustment for all known risk factors (HRQ4 vs. Q1 0.47 [95% CI 0.29–0.75]; P-trend = 0.0031).

Table 3

Waist and hip circumference and risk of LEAD in the WHI CVD Biomarker Study (n = 22,561)

Quartile
Q1Q2Q3Q4P-trendPer 10-cm increment
Waist circumference       
 Median (range), cm 74.5 (<79.5) 84.0 (79.6–88.4) 93.0 (88.5–98.3) 106.0 (≥98.4)   
 Cases, n 82 77 83 92   
 Person-years 95,452 94,128 91,690 87,873   
 Model 2 1.00 (Referent) 1.12 (0.80–1.58) 1.40 (0.96–2.03) 1.94 (1.25–3.01) 0.0020 1.17 (1.05–1.30) 
 Model 2 + hs-CRP 1.00 (Referent) 1.03 (0.74–1.45) 1.22 (0.83–1.78) 1.63 (1.04–2.55) 0.026 1.12 (1.00–1.25) 
 Model 2 + BP measures* 1.00 (Referent) 1.03 (0.74–1.44) 1.22 (0.84–1.77) 1.60 (1.03–2.49) 0.027 1.12 (0.99–1.25) 
 Model 2 + reported diabetes + HOMA-IR 1.00 (Referent) 0.89 (0.63–1.26) 0.92 (0.62–1.36) 1.01 (0.62–1.64) 0.89 0.99 (0.87–1.13) 
 Model 2 + dyslipidemia + major lipids 1.00 (Referent) 0.94 (0.66–1.32) 1.05 (0.70–1.54) 1.37 (0.86–2.18) 0.14 1.07 (0.95–1.21) 
 Model 2 + all above 1.00 (Referent) 0.76 (0.54–1.09) 0.73 (0.49–1.10) 0.78 (0.47–1.27) 0.42 0.89 (0.77–1.04) 
Hip circumference       
 Median (range), cm 95.5 (<99.9) 103.0 (100.0–106.9) 110.5 (107.0–115.9) 123.0 (≥116.0)   
 Cases, n 102 76 88 68   
 Person-years 87,935 92,923 97,620 90,665   
 Model 2 1.00 (Referent) 0.67 (0.48–0.93) 0.60 (0.42–0.87) 0.38 (0.24–0.59) 0.0001 0.80 (0.70–0.91) 
 Model 2 + hs-CRP 1.00 (Referent) 0.65 (0.47–0.91) 0.58 (0.40–0.84) 0.35 (0.22–0.55) <0.0001 0.78 (0.68–0.89) 
 Model 2 + BP measures* 1.00 (Referent) 0.69 (0.50–0.95) 0.63 (0.44–0.91) 0.40 (0.25–0.62) 0.0001 0.81 (0.71–0.93) 
 Model 2 + reported diabetes + HOMA-IR 1.00 (Referent) 0.72 (0.52–0.99) 0.68 (0.47–0.98) 0.44 (0.28–0.70) 0.0007 0.84 (0.73–0.95) 
 Model 2 + dyslipidemia + major lipids 1.00 (Referent) 0.69 (0.50–0.96) 0.68 (0.47–0.98) 0.45 (0.28–0.71) 0.0011 0.84 (0.73–0.96) 
 Model 2 + all above 1.00 (Referent) 0.73 (0.52–1.01) 0.71 (0.49–1.03) 0.47 (0.29–0.75) 0.0031 0.85 (0.75–0.97) 
Quartile
Q1Q2Q3Q4P-trendPer 10-cm increment
Waist circumference       
 Median (range), cm 74.5 (<79.5) 84.0 (79.6–88.4) 93.0 (88.5–98.3) 106.0 (≥98.4)   
 Cases, n 82 77 83 92   
 Person-years 95,452 94,128 91,690 87,873   
 Model 2 1.00 (Referent) 1.12 (0.80–1.58) 1.40 (0.96–2.03) 1.94 (1.25–3.01) 0.0020 1.17 (1.05–1.30) 
 Model 2 + hs-CRP 1.00 (Referent) 1.03 (0.74–1.45) 1.22 (0.83–1.78) 1.63 (1.04–2.55) 0.026 1.12 (1.00–1.25) 
 Model 2 + BP measures* 1.00 (Referent) 1.03 (0.74–1.44) 1.22 (0.84–1.77) 1.60 (1.03–2.49) 0.027 1.12 (0.99–1.25) 
 Model 2 + reported diabetes + HOMA-IR 1.00 (Referent) 0.89 (0.63–1.26) 0.92 (0.62–1.36) 1.01 (0.62–1.64) 0.89 0.99 (0.87–1.13) 
 Model 2 + dyslipidemia + major lipids 1.00 (Referent) 0.94 (0.66–1.32) 1.05 (0.70–1.54) 1.37 (0.86–2.18) 0.14 1.07 (0.95–1.21) 
 Model 2 + all above 1.00 (Referent) 0.76 (0.54–1.09) 0.73 (0.49–1.10) 0.78 (0.47–1.27) 0.42 0.89 (0.77–1.04) 
Hip circumference       
 Median (range), cm 95.5 (<99.9) 103.0 (100.0–106.9) 110.5 (107.0–115.9) 123.0 (≥116.0)   
 Cases, n 102 76 88 68   
 Person-years 87,935 92,923 97,620 90,665   
 Model 2 1.00 (Referent) 0.67 (0.48–0.93) 0.60 (0.42–0.87) 0.38 (0.24–0.59) 0.0001 0.80 (0.70–0.91) 
 Model 2 + hs-CRP 1.00 (Referent) 0.65 (0.47–0.91) 0.58 (0.40–0.84) 0.35 (0.22–0.55) <0.0001 0.78 (0.68–0.89) 
 Model 2 + BP measures* 1.00 (Referent) 0.69 (0.50–0.95) 0.63 (0.44–0.91) 0.40 (0.25–0.62) 0.0001 0.81 (0.71–0.93) 
 Model 2 + reported diabetes + HOMA-IR 1.00 (Referent) 0.72 (0.52–0.99) 0.68 (0.47–0.98) 0.44 (0.28–0.70) 0.0007 0.84 (0.73–0.95) 
 Model 2 + dyslipidemia + major lipids 1.00 (Referent) 0.69 (0.50–0.96) 0.68 (0.47–0.98) 0.45 (0.28–0.71) 0.0011 0.84 (0.73–0.96) 
 Model 2 + all above 1.00 (Referent) 0.73 (0.52–1.01) 0.71 (0.49–1.03) 0.47 (0.29–0.75) 0.0031 0.85 (0.75–0.97) 

Data are HR (95% CI) unless otherwise indicated. BP, blood pressure.

*

Including use of antihypertensive drugs and systolic BP.

Including triglycerides and HDL and LDL cholesterol.

Body Fat Mass and Risk of LEAD

There were 119 incident cases of LEAD among the 10,894 participants with body composition data. After adjustment for multiple potential confounders (model 2, including trunk or leg lean mass) in addition to mutual adjustment, higher trunk fat mass was associated with an increased risk of LEAD (HRQ4 vs. Q1 2.56 [95% CI 1.28–5.12]; P-trend = 0.0081), while higher leg fat mass was associated with a 75% reduction in the risk of LEAD when comparing extreme quartiles (HRQ4 vs. Q1 0.25 [95% CI 0.13–0.49]; P-trend <0.0001) (Table 4). In stratified analyses with a small number of cases in each group, for both trunk and leg fat, the associations with risk of LEAD were stronger in current smokers than in former or never smokers (Supplementary Table 5). The positive association of trunk fat with risk of LEAD was eliminated after further adjustment for reported diabetes, dyslipidemia, and blood pressure measures (HRQ4 vs. Q1 1.33 [95% CI 0.65–2.73]; P-trend = 0.49). The inverse association between leg fat and risk of LEAD remained significant after such an additional adjustment (HRQ4 vs. Q1 0.41 [95% CI 0.21–0.82]; P-trend = 0.0082). Whole-body fat mass and the ratio of trunk-to-leg fat mass were not associated with risk of LEAD after additional adjustment for the metabolic factors (Supplementary Table 6).

Table 4

Trunk and leg fat mass and risk of LEAD in the WHI (n = 10,894)

Quartile
Q1Q2Q3Q4P-trendPer 5-kg increment
Trunk fat mass       
 Median (range), kg 8.3 (<10.6) 12.6 (10.6–14.4) 16.4 (14.5–18.7) 22.3 (≥18.8)   
 Cases, n 25 33 31 30   
 Person-years 43,969 43,303 42,258 40,835   
 Model 1* 1.00 (Referent) 1.64 (0.96–2.81) 1.85 (1.04–3.31) 2.73 (1.41–5.31) 0.0034 1.39 (1.13–1.70) 
 Model 2* 1.00 (Referent) 1.60 (0.93–2.75) 1.91 (1.05–3.47) 2.56 (1.28–5.12) 0.0081 1.28 (1.04–1.57) 
 Model 2 + metabolic factors* 1.00 (Referent) 1.35 (0.78–2.34) 1.31 (0.71–2.41) 1.33 (0.65–2.73) 0.49 1.06 (0.85–1.33) 
Leg fat mass       
 Median (range), kg 7.9 (<9.2) 10.4 (9.2–11.4) 12.8 (11.5–14.3) 16.9 (≥14.4)   
 Cases, n 41 33 26 19   
 Person-years 41,850 43,069 43,239 42,207   
 Model 1* 1.00 (Referent) 0.61 (0.38–0.99) 0.39 (0.23–0.68) 0.21 (0.11–0.41) <0.0001 0.44 (0.31–0.62) 
 Model 2* 1.00 (Referent) 0.62 (0.38–1.01) 0.40 (0.23–0.70) 0.25 (0.13–0.49) <0.0001 0.52 (0.37–0.72) 
 Model 2 + metabolic factors* 1.00 (Referent) 0.75 (0.46–1.23) 0.57 (0.33–1.00) 0.41 (0.21–0.82) 0.0082 0.66 (0.46–0.93) 
Quartile
Q1Q2Q3Q4P-trendPer 5-kg increment
Trunk fat mass       
 Median (range), kg 8.3 (<10.6) 12.6 (10.6–14.4) 16.4 (14.5–18.7) 22.3 (≥18.8)   
 Cases, n 25 33 31 30   
 Person-years 43,969 43,303 42,258 40,835   
 Model 1* 1.00 (Referent) 1.64 (0.96–2.81) 1.85 (1.04–3.31) 2.73 (1.41–5.31) 0.0034 1.39 (1.13–1.70) 
 Model 2* 1.00 (Referent) 1.60 (0.93–2.75) 1.91 (1.05–3.47) 2.56 (1.28–5.12) 0.0081 1.28 (1.04–1.57) 
 Model 2 + metabolic factors* 1.00 (Referent) 1.35 (0.78–2.34) 1.31 (0.71–2.41) 1.33 (0.65–2.73) 0.49 1.06 (0.85–1.33) 
Leg fat mass       
 Median (range), kg 7.9 (<9.2) 10.4 (9.2–11.4) 12.8 (11.5–14.3) 16.9 (≥14.4)   
 Cases, n 41 33 26 19   
 Person-years 41,850 43,069 43,239 42,207   
 Model 1* 1.00 (Referent) 0.61 (0.38–0.99) 0.39 (0.23–0.68) 0.21 (0.11–0.41) <0.0001 0.44 (0.31–0.62) 
 Model 2* 1.00 (Referent) 0.62 (0.38–1.01) 0.40 (0.23–0.70) 0.25 (0.13–0.49) <0.0001 0.52 (0.37–0.72) 
 Model 2 + metabolic factors* 1.00 (Referent) 0.75 (0.46–1.23) 0.57 (0.33–1.00) 0.41 (0.21–0.82) 0.0082 0.66 (0.46–0.93) 

Data are HR (95% CI) unless otherwise indicated. Model 1 was adjusted for age (years), race/ethnicity (White, Black/African American, Hispanic/Latina, other/unknown), education (at most high school, some college, college or above), annual family income (<$20,000, $20,000 to <$50,000, $50,000 to <$75,000, ≥$75,000), and study group (three variables with each being classified as observational, control, and intervention). Model 2 was adjusted for covariates in model 1 plus smoking status (never, former, current), pack-years of smoking (for current smokers), alcohol consumption (0, 0 to <5, 5 to <15, 15 to <25, ≥25 g/day), recreational physical activity (MET-h/week), diet-quality score (Alternate Healthy Eating Index-2010, excluding alcohol), hormone replacement therapy (never, former, current [<5, 5 to <10, 10 to <15, ≥15 years]), aspirin use (never, ever), use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug (never, ever), history of CHD or stroke (yes, no), height, and body lean mass at the trunk (for trunk fat mass) or leg region (for leg fat mass).

*

Trunk and leg fat were mutually adjusted for each other.

Including reported diabetes (yes, no), dyslipidemia (yes, no), use of antihypertensive drugs (yes, no), and systolic blood pressure (mmHg).

Associations of trunk and leg fat mass with cardiovascular biomarkers were similar but stronger compared with those for waist and hip circumference, respectively (e.g., Pearson correlation coefficients with HOMA-IR were r = 0.54 for trunk fat mass and r = −0.25 for leg fat mass) (Supplementary Fig. 3).

In a large prospective study of U.S. postmenopausal women, we found that higher waist circumference was associated with a higher risk of LEAD, whereas higher hip circumference was associated with a lower risk of LEAD. In a subset of participants with additional measures of key cardiometabolic biomarkers, the positive association between waist circumference and LEAD was completely eliminated by further adjustment for diabetes and HOMA-IR, yet the inverse association between hip circumference and LEAD seemed to be not fully explained by traditional cardiometabolic risk factors. These findings were further supported by our analyses using data on DXA-assessed body fat mass in which trunk fat was positively and leg fat inversely associated with risk of LEAD.

Multiple lines of evidence support the notion that regional fat depots are functionally distinct (1517). Such differences are even found for apparently similar abdominal subcutaneous and gluteofemoral subcutaneous adipose tissue, with the latter being associated with reduced severity of inflammation and favorable patterns of glycemic and lipid metabolism and adipokine release (1518). Expression of a set of genes that may shape the functional characteristics of adipose tissue also appears to be depot specific (2628). In a recent large analysis of a U.K. population, a genetic score of 22 single nucleotide polymorphisms specific to lower hip circumference (and independent of waist circumference) was associated with lower gluteofemoral and leg fat (29). A higher level of this genetic score was further associated with poorer profiles of various cardiometabolic traits and higher risks of diabetes and CHD. A genetically determined favorable adiposity phenotype (identified by genome-wide association studies using body fat percentage and metabolic biomarkers) has been repeatedly associated with higher subcutaneous but lower visceral adipose tissue as well as with lower risks of various cardiometabolic diseases (3032). Among obese individuals, measures of waist and hip circumference were oppositely (i.e., positively and inversely) associated with postprandial lipemia after a high-fat meal (33).

Only a few studies have examined the associations between measures of general or central adiposity and incident LEAD, and the findings are mixed. In the U.S. Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study (6), higher BMI, waist circumference, and WHR all were associated with a higher risk of hospitalizations related to LEAD. After further adjustment for a number of clinical risk factors, including diabetes, the associations were attenuated substantially. Likewise, in a cohort of 15,737 Scottish men and women (7), these three adiposity measures were associated with a higher risk of LEAD in age-adjusted models (only for women) but not after adjusting for lifestyle and clinical risk factors. A positive association between waist circumference and risk of LEAD was also found in the U.S. Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (8) in which adjustment for clinical risk factors was not performed. Other studies have found no significant association with BMI (9,1214) or waist circumference (12,13) or a positive association with BMI only in specific subgroups of the study population (10,11) (e.g., never smokers [10]).

In line with previous findings (6,7), we found that the associations between waist circumference or WHR and risk of LEAD were largely attenuated (but remained significant) after adjustment for reported diabetes, dyslipidemia, and blood pressure measures. The higher risk of LEAD associated with a larger waist size was consistent across BMI categories, supporting the notion that being centrally obese is detrimental regardless of total body size (21,34,35). The positive association between waist circumference and risk of LEAD was completely eliminated by further adjusting for reported diabetes and HOMA-IR in the WHI CVD Biomarker Study. Perhaps more importantly, we also found, for the first time, that higher trunk fat mass was associated with a higher risk of LEAD and that such an association disappeared after adjustment for reported diabetes, dyslipidemia, and blood pressure measures. Collectively, these findings support the possibility that an accumulation of upper-body fat may increase the risk of LEAD through increases of traditional cardiometabolic risk factors, especially insulin resistance.

A novel finding of our study is that larger hip size and higher leg fat mass both were associated with a lower risk of LEAD. To our knowledge, no previous studies have examined either hip circumference or leg fat measures in relation to incident LEAD. There are some previous studies in which hip circumference was inversely associated with risks of CHD and all-cause mortality (36,37), especially after adjustment for waist circumference (37). A few prospective studies also reported that higher leg fat was associated with lower risk of CVD (21,38). Of note, recent population studies have identified specific genetic loci (39) and metabolomic biomarkers (40) for LEAD that are different from those for CHD, suggesting a potential unique pathogenesis of this vascular disease.

There was no association between BMI and risk of LEAD after multivariable adjustment but an inverse association after further adjustment for metabolic factors. BMI reflects total body mass, and this inverse association may have been driven by the inverse association of lower-body fat with LEAD given that the association between upper-body (but not lower-body) fat and risk of LEAD was largely attenuated after adjustment for metabolic factors.

Strengths of our study include its prospective design, long-term follow-up, objective assessments of anthropometric measures, DXA-assessed body fat mass, and adjudication of major LEAD events. The observed association of waist or hip circumference with risk of LEAD was, respectively, consistent with the association with DXA-assessed trunk and leg fat mass after adjustment for trunk or leg lean mass. Additional analyses conducted by using data on multiple blood biomarkers may further provide some mechanistic insights into the observed associations between body fat and risk of LEAD.

Several limitations to our study need to be acknowledged. Our study only included symptomatic LEAD for which the incidence is lower than that of asymptomatic LEAD (2). Follow-up of asymptomatic LEAD requires periodic reexamination of study participants, which involves substantial time, expense, and resources. As such, it is more practical for large population studies to focus on clinically symptomatic LEAD (4). Given that some at-risk individuals (e.g., those with severe diabetes) who have reduced body fat are more likely to develop LEAD, the possibility that the inverse association between lower-body fat and risk of LEAD may have partially resulted from reverse causation merits attention. However, the inverse association between hip circumference and risk of LEAD was largely similar after excluding incident cases of LEAD that were diagnosed within the first 10 years of follow-up. Finally, our analyses included only postmenopausal women who are predominantly White. Although our findings are reproducible in the CVD Biomarker Study, a more ethnically diverse subsample, additional studies conducted in men and in other racial/ethnic groups or age-groups are still needed.

In a broad sample of U.S. postmenopausal women, our findings suggest that an accumulation of upper-body fat, as reflected by larger waist circumference or higher trunk fat mass, was associated with an elevated risk of LEAD and that the association may be attributable to the established clinical risk factors, especially insulin resistance. A greater amount of lower-body fat as measured by hip circumference or leg fat mass was associated with a lower risk of LEAD, independently of known risk factors. Additional research is required to confirm our findings and to better understand the mechanisms underlying the beneficial relationship between lower-body fat accumulation and risk of LEAD.

This article contains supplementary material online at https://doi.org/10.2337/figshare.16775866.

Acknowledgments. The authors thank the WHI investigators, staff, and the trial participants for their outstanding dedication and commitment. The following is a short list of WHI investigators:

Program Office (National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, Bethesda, MD): Jacques Roscoe, Shari Ludlum, Dale Burden, Joan McGowan, Leslie Ford, and Nancy Geller.

Clinical Coordinating Center (Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA): Garnet Anderson, Ross Prentice, Andrea LaCroix, and Charles Kopperberg.

Investigators and Academic Centers: JoAnn E. Manson (Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA), Barbara V. Howard (MedStar Health Research Institute/Howard University, Washington, DC), Marcia L. Stefanick (Stanford Prevention Research Center, Stanford, CA), Rebecca Jackson (The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH), Cynthia A. Thompson (University of Arizona, Tucson/Phoenix, AZ), Jean Wactawski-Wende (University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY), Marian Limacher (University of Florida, Gainesville/Jacksonville, FL), Robert Wallace (University of Iowa, Iowa City/Davenport, IA), Lewis Kuller (University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA), Rowan T. Chlebowski (City of Hope Comprehensive Cancer Center, Duarte, CA), and Sally Shumaker (Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC).

WHI Memory Study (Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston Salem, NC): Sally Shumaker.

A full list of all the investigators who have contributed to the WHI science appears at https://www.whi.org/researchers/Documents%20%20Write%20a%20Paper/WHI%20Investigator%20Long%20List.pdf.

Funding. The WHI program is funded by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, through contracts HHSN268201600018C, HHSN268201600001C, HHSN268201600002C, HHSN268201600003C, and HHSN268201600004C. Q.Q. is supported by National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute grants K01-HL-129892, R01-HL-060712, and R01-HL-140976 and National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases grants R01-DK-119268 and R01-DK-120870, and R.C.K. is supported by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute grant R01-HL-146132-01.

Duality of Interest. No potential conflicts of interest relevant to this article were reported.

Author Contributions. G.-C.C. prepared the tables and figures and had primary responsibility for writing the manuscript. G.-C.C., R.A., and V.K. performed the statistical analyses. G.-C.C., R.A., V.K., J.C.C., B.Y., A.H.S., M.A., Y.S., N.S., R.A.W., W.B., A.J.D., T.E.R., R.C.K., S.W.-S., and Q.Q. contributed to the interpretation of data, critically reviewed and revised the manuscript, and approved the final manuscript. G.-C.C. and Q.Q. designed the research and developed the analytical plan. S.W.-S. and Q.Q. directed the study. Q.Q. is the guarantor of this work and, as such, had full access to all the data in the study and takes responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.

1
Criqui
MH
,
Aboyans
V
.
Epidemiology of peripheral artery disease
.
Circ Res
2015
;
116
:
1509
1526
2
Fowkes
FG
,
Aboyans
V
,
Fowkes
FJ
,
McDermott
MM
,
Sampson
UK
,
Criqui
MH
.
Peripheral artery disease: epidemiology and global perspectives
.
Nat Rev Cardiol
2017
;
14
:
156
170
3
Benjamin
EJ
,
Muntner
P
,
Alonso
A
, et al.;
American Heart Association Council on Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee and Stroke Statistics Subcommittee
.
Heart disease and stroke statistics-2019 update: a report from the American Heart Association
.
Circulation
2019
;
139
:
e56
e528
4
Joosten
MM
,
Pai
JK
,
Bertoia
ML
, et al
.
Associations between conventional cardiovascular risk factors and risk of peripheral artery disease in men
.
JAMA
2012
;
308
:
1660
1667
5
Ortega
FB
,
Lavie
CJ
,
Blair
SN
.
Obesity and cardiovascular disease
.
Circ Res
2016
;
118
:
1752
1770
6
Hicks
CW
,
Yang
C
,
Ndumele
CE
, et al
.
Associations of obesity with incident hospitalization related to peripheral artery disease and critical limb ischemia in the ARIC study
.
J Am Heart Assoc
2018
;
7
:
e008644
7
Tunstall-Pedoe
H
,
Peters
SAE
,
Woodward
M
,
Struthers
AD
,
Belch
JJF
.
Twenty-year predictors of peripheral arterial disease compared with coronary heart disease in the Scottish Heart Health Extended Cohort (SHHEC)
.
J Am Heart Assoc
2017
;
6
:
e005967
8
Vidula
H
,
Liu
K
,
Criqui
MH
, et al
.
Metabolic syndrome and incident peripheral artery disease-the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis
.
Atherosclerosis
2015
;
243
:
198
203
9
Curb
JD
,
Masaki
K
,
Rodriguez
BL
, et al
.
Peripheral artery disease and cardiovascular risk factors in the elderly. The Honolulu Heart Program
.
Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol
1996
;
16
:
1495
1500
10
Ix
JH
,
Biggs
ML
,
Kizer
JR
, et al
.
Association of body mass index with peripheral arterial disease in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study
.
Am J Epidemiol
2011
;
174
:
1036
1043
11
Althouse
AD
,
Abbott
JD
,
Forker
AD
, et al.;
BARI 2D Study Group
.
Risk factors for incident peripheral arterial disease in type 2 diabetes: results from the Bypass Angioplasty Revascularization Investigation in Type 2 Diabetes (BARI 2D) trial
.
Diabetes Care
2014
;
37
:
1346
1352
12
Alzamora
MT
,
Forés
R
,
Pera
G
, et al
.
Incidence of peripheral arterial disease in the ARTPER population cohort after 5 years of follow-up
.
BMC Cardiovasc Disord
2016
;
16
:
8
13
Skilton
MR
,
Chin-Dusting
JP
,
Dart
AM
, et al.;
D.E.S.I.R. Study Group
.
Metabolic health, obesity and 9-year incidence of peripheral arterial disease: the D.E.S.I.R. study
.
Atherosclerosis
2011
;
216
:
471
476
14
López-Laguna
N
,
Martínez-González
MA
,
Toledo
E
, et al
.
Risk of peripheral artery disease according to a healthy lifestyle score: The PREDIMED study
.
Atherosclerosis
2018
;
275
:
133
140
15
Karpe
F
,
Pinnick
KE
.
Biology of upper-body and lower-body adipose tissue--link to whole-body phenotypes
.
Nat Rev Endocrinol
2015
;
11
:
90
100
16
Tchkonia
T
,
Thomou
T
,
Zhu
Y
, et al
.
Mechanisms and metabolic implications of regional differences among fat depots
.
Cell Metab
2013
;
17
:
644
656
17
Stefan
N
.
Causes, consequences, and treatment of metabolically unhealthy fat distribution
.
Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol
2020
;
8
:
616
627
18
Piché
ME
,
Vasan
SK
,
Hodson
L
,
Karpe
F
.
Relevance of human fat distribution on lipid and lipoprotein metabolism and cardiovascular disease risk
.
Curr Opin Lipidol
2018
;
29
:
285
292
19
The Women’s Health Initiative Study Group
.
Design of the Women’s Health Initiative clinical trial and observational study
.
Control Clin Trials
1998
;
19
:
61
109
20
Bea
JW
,
Thomson
CA
,
Wertheim
BC
, et al
.
Risk of mortality according to body mass index and body composition among postmenopausal women
.
Am J Epidemiol
2015
;
182
:
585
596
21
Chen
GC
,
Arthur
R
,
Iyengar
NM
, et al
.
Association between regional body fat and cardiovascular disease risk among postmenopausal women with normal body mass index
.
Eur Heart J
2019
;
40
:
2849
2855
22
Curb
JD
,
McTiernan
A
,
Heckbert
SR
, et al.;
WHI Morbidity and Mortality Committee
.
Outcomes ascertainment and adjudication methods in the Women’s Health Initiative
.
Ann Epidemiol
2003
;
13
(
Suppl.
):
S122
S128
23
Patterson
RE
,
Kristal
AR
,
Tinker
LF
,
Carter
RA
,
Bolton
MP
,
Agurs-Collins
T
.
Measurement characteristics of the Women’s Health Initiative food frequency questionnaire
.
Ann Epidemiol
1999
;
9
:
178
187
24
Meyer
AM
,
Evenson
KR
,
Morimoto
L
,
Siscovick
D
,
White
E
.
Test-retest reliability of the Women’s Health Initiative physical activity questionnaire
.
Med Sci Sports Exerc
2009
;
41
:
530
538
25
Allison
MA
,
Manson
JE
,
Langer
RD
, et al
.
Association between different measures of blood pressure and coronary artery calcium in postmenopausal women
.
Hypertension
2008
;
52
:
833
840
26
Karastergiou
K
,
Fried
SK
,
Xie
H
, et al
.
Distinct developmental signatures of human abdominal and gluteal subcutaneous adipose tissue depots
.
J Clin Endocrinol Metab
2013
;
98
:
362
371
27
Gehrke
S
,
Brueckner
B
,
Schepky
A
, et al
.
Epigenetic regulation of depot-specific gene expression in adipose tissue
.
PLoS One
2013
;
8
:
e82516
28
Swarbrick
MM
.
A lifetime on the hips: programming lower-body fat to protect against metabolic disease
.
Diabetes
2014
;
63
:
3575
3577
29
Lotta
LA
,
Wittemans
LBL
,
Zuber
V
, et al
.
Association of genetic variants related to gluteofemoral vs abdominal fat distribution with type 2 diabetes, coronary disease, and cardiovascular risk factors
.
JAMA
2018
;
320
:
2553
2563
30
Ji
Y
,
Yiorkas
AM
,
Frau
F
, et al
.
Genome-wide and abdominal MRI data provide evidence that a genetically determined favorable adiposity phenotype is characterized by lower ectopic liver fat and lower risk of type 2 diabetes, heart disease, and hypertension
.
Diabetes
2019
;
68
:
207
219
31
Martin
S
,
Cule
M
,
Basty
N
, et al
.
Genetic evidence for different adiposity phenotypes and their opposing influence on ectopic fat and risk of cardiometabolic disease
.
Diabetes
2021
;
70
:
1843
1856
32
Yaghootkar
H
,
Lotta
LA
,
Tyrrell
J
, et al
.
Genetic evidence for a link between favorable adiposity and lower risk of type 2 diabetes, hypertension, and heart disease
.
Diabetes
2016
;
65
:
2448
2460
33
Christiansen
MR
,
Ureña
MG
,
Borisevich
D
, et al
.
Abdominal and gluteofemoral fat depots show opposing associations with postprandial lipemia
.
Am J Clin Nutr
2021
;
114
:
1467
1475
34
Sun
Y
,
Liu
B
,
Snetselaar
LG
, et al
.
Association of normal-weight central obesity with all-cause and cause-specific mortality among postmenopausal women
.
JAMA Netw Open
2019
;
2
:
e197337
35
Stefan
N
,
Schick
F
,
Häring
HU
.
Causes, characteristics, and consequences of metabolically unhealthy normal weight in humans
.
Cell Metab
2017
;
26
:
292
300
36
Heitmann
BL
,
Lissner
L
.
Hip hip hurrah! Hip size inversely related to heart disease and total mortality
.
Obes Rev
2011
;
12
:
478
481
37
Jayedi
A
,
Soltani
S
,
Zargar
MS
,
Khan
TA
,
Shab-Bidar
S
.
Central fatness and risk of all cause mortality: systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of 72 prospective cohort studies
.
BMJ
2020
;
370
:
m3324
38
Neeland
IJ
,
Turer
AT
,
Ayers
CR
, et al
.
Body fat distribution and incident cardiovascular disease in obese adults
.
J Am Coll Cardiol
2015
;
65
:
2150
2151
39
Klarin
D
,
Lynch
J
,
Aragam
K
, et al.;
VA Million Veteran Program
.
Genome-wide association study of peripheral artery disease in the Million Veteran Program
.
Nat Med
2019
;
25
:
1274
1279
40
Tikkanen
E
,
Jägerroos
V
,
Rodosthenous
R
, et al
.
Metabolic biomarkers for peripheral artery disease compared with coronary artery disease: lipoprotein and metabolite profiling of 31,657 individuals from five prospective cohorts
.
25 July 2020 [preprint]. medRxiv:2020.07.24.20158675
Readers may use this article as long as the work is properly cited, the use is educational and not for profit, and the work is not altered. More information is available at https://www.diabetesjournals.org/journals/pages/license.