OBJECTIVE

Current guidelines recommend prescribing SGLT2 inhibitors to patients with type 2 diabetes and established or at high risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), irrespective of HbA1c levels. We studied the association of HbA1c with cardiovascular and renal outcomes and whether the benefit of dapagliflozin varies by baseline HbA1c.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

In the Dapagliflozin Effect on Cardiovascular Events trial (DECLARE-TIMI 58), 17,160 patients with type 2 diabetes were randomly assigned to dapagliflozin or placebo for a median follow-up of 4.2 years. Cardiovascular and renal outcomes by baseline HbA1c in the overall population and with dapagliflozin versus placebo in HbA1c subgroups were studied by Cox regression models.

RESULTS

In the overall population, higher baseline HbA1c was associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular death or hospitalization for heart failure (HHF); major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), including cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, and ischemic stroke; and cardiorenal outcomes (adjusted hazard ratios 1.12 [95% CI 1.06–1.19], 1.08 [1.04–1.13], and 1.17 [1.11–1.24] per 1% higher level, respectively). Elevated HbA1c was associated with a greater increased risk for MACE and cardiorenal outcomes in patients with multiple risk factors (MRF) than in established ASCVD (P-interaction = 0.0064 and 0.0093, respectively). Compared with placebo, dapagliflozin decreased the risk of cardiovascular death/HHF, HHF, and cardiorenal outcomes, with no heterogeneity by baseline HbA1c (P-interaction > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher HbA1c levels were associated with greater cardiovascular and renal risk, particularly in the MRF population, yet the benefits of dapagliflozin were observed in all subgroups irrespective of baseline HbA1c, including patients with HbA1c <7%.

HbA1c is an important indicator of glycemic control, providing an estimate of the glycemic burden in the 3 months before the test (1). Interventional trials comparing intensive versus conventional glycemic control in patients with type 2 diabetes demonstrated a robust decline in the occurrence of microvascular complications, predominantly kidney and eye outcomes (2). However, the clinical impact of HbA1c reduction on the risk of macrovascular diabetic complications has been a source of much deliberation (35). While a short-term benefit of intensive glycemic control has not been demonstrated in individual studies, meta-analyses have shown a 15% reduced risk for myocardial infarction, and long-term observation has indicated some benefit when the intervention was implemented at disease onset (6,7). It has been proposed that long-standing, poorly controlled diabetes establishes a negative glycemic legacy, which cannot be easily reversed, and therefore, ameliorating hyperglycemia after the complications have already set in has limited benefit and may possibly pose some risk (8). Setting higher glycemic targets in patients with multiple comorbidities and long-standing diabetes has thus been recommended (9).

Patients with diabetes are at increased risk of macrovascular complications, these being a major cause of morbidity and mortality (10). The cardiovascular impact of the individual glucose-lowering agents has been explored in recent years. While dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitors demonstrated an overall neutral effect, marked cardiovascular benefits have been demonstrated with sodium glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (11). The cardiovascular benefits observed with these agents are generally attributed to their pleiotropic effects, although a contributory benefit of HbA1c reduction per se has been suggested (1214). These findings have led current guidelines to propose prescribing glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists or SGLT2 inhibitors to patients with type 2 diabetes and established or at high risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) to improve their outcomes (15,16). These recommendations are irrespective of the prevailing HbA1c and include those with HbA1c <7%.

The Dapagliflozin Effect on Cardiovascular Events trial (DECLARE-TIMI 58) assessed the cardiovascular and renal outcomes of dapagliflozin versus placebo in a broad population of patients with type 2 diabetes (17). We studied the association of baseline HbA1c levels with cardiovascular and renal outcomes and in a prespecified analysis, assessed whether the benefits observed with dapagliflozin were consistent across all levels of baseline HbA1c.

Study Overview

In DECLARE-TIMI 58, 17,160 patients were randomly assigned to receive dapagliflozin 10 mg daily or placebo and followed for a median of 4.2 years. Patients with a HbA1c of 6.5 to <12.0% and a creatinine clearance of ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m2 were eligible for inclusion. The trial included 6,974 patients with established ASCVD (40.6%) and 10,186 with multiple risk factors (MRF) but without ASCVD (59.4%). Participants with MRF were men aged ≥55 years and women aged ≥60 years with at least one additional cardiovascular risk factor, including dyslipidemia, hypertension, or current tobacco use. All patients were treated according to guidelines and regional standards of care for cardiovascular risk factors, including blood pressure, LDL cholesterol, antithrombotic treatment, and HbA1c. The trial protocol was approved by the institutional review board at each participating site, and all participants provided written informed consent. The design, baseline characteristics, and principal results of this study have been previously published (1719).

Assessment of Outcomes

The prespecified dual primary composite efficacy outcomes were cardiovascular death or hospitalization for heart failure (HHF) and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), which included the composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, or ischemic stroke. A prespecified secondary cardiorenal composite outcome included a sustained decrease of ≥40% in eGFR to <60 mL/min/1.73 m2, end-stage renal disease, or death as a result of cardiovascular or renal cause. Additional outcomes included components of the primary end points as well as a renal-specific composite outcome that was similar to the cardiorenal outcome excluding cardiovascular death. Analysis of outcomes by HbA1c categories was prespecified.

Statistical Analysis

Baseline characteristics are reported as frequencies and percentages for categorical variables and as median (interquartile range) for continuous variables by HbA1c group. P-trend values for categorical variables were calculated from the Cochran-Armitage trend test, and continuous variables were calculated from the Jonckheere-Terpstra test. Baseline and efficacy analyses were performed on an intention-to-treat basis. The risk of outcome by baseline categorical HbA1c was calculated using Cox regression models with HbA1c of 7 to <8% set as the reference group, and a P-trend value was calculated for each outcome analyzed. The models were adjusted for age, sex, BMI, diabetes duration, eGFR, history of heart failure, and insulin, metformin, sulfonylurea, and statin use, as well as for randomized treatment arm and ASCVD risk category in models not restricted to a specific treatment arm or risk category. The risk for each outcome was also considered, analyzing HbA1c as a continuous variable, and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs were calculated per 1% higher HbA1c. An interaction term was included to test for heterogeneity of the effect of HbA1c on outcomes between the MRF and ASCVD subgroups.

The effect of dapagliflozin on the incidence of the outcomes within each HbA1c subgroup was calculated using Cox regression models that included the randomization stratification factor of baseline hematuria and the risk category (ASCVD or MRF) for the overall population, and we report the HRs and 95% CIs. When the effect of dapagliflozin within HbA1c subgroups was considered as a further subset by risk category (ASCVD or MRF), models included only the stratification factor of baseline hematuria status, as described in the study design article (18). To test for heterogeneity of effect, an interaction term was included in the Cox regression model. Probability and 95% CIs of outcomes by HbA1c were graphed in a continuous model implementing a restricted cubic spline for HbA1c.

Mixed models for repeated measures in HbA1c were analyzed to produce least squares mean estimates in each treatment and baseline HbA1c group. Models included baseline HbA1c values, hematuria status, risk category, treatment, visit, and the interaction of treatment and visit. Three-way interactions were calculated assessing the interaction of baseline HbA1c group, visit, and treatment allocation to dapagliflozin versus placebo.

There was no statistical adjustment for multiple comparisons. P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. All analyses were performed using SAS 9.4 software (SAS Institute, Cary, NC).

Baseline Characteristics

Demographic, clinical, and laboratory characteristics of patients by baseline HbA1c are shown in Supplementary Table 1. With higher baseline HbA1c, patients were more likely to be younger and female, to have a longer diabetes duration, and to be using insulin or sulfonylureas. They were less likely to be using metformin or statins. Patients with higher HbA1c were also more likely to have a history of heart failure, be current smokers, and have had a higher eGFR at baseline. The baseline characteristics of patients in the ASCVD and MRF populations are shown in Supplementary Tables 2 and 3, respectively, and followed similar patterns.

Cardiovascular and Renal Outcomes in the Overall Population

In the overall study population, higher baseline HbA1c was associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular death/HHF (adjusted HR 1.12 [95% CI 1.06–1.19] per 1% higher HbA1c), driven by an increased risk of cardiovascular death. The risk of MACE and cardiorenal and renal-specific outcomes was greater with higher HbA1c. The risk for HHF did not differ by baseline HbA1c (Table 1 and Fig. 1A). Analyses of these outcomes in the subgroups of patients with established ASCVD and with MRF but no established ASCVD revealed some heterogeneity in the association of HbA1c with outcomes in these two populations (Table 1 and Fig. 1B and C). Specifically, the risk of MACE was greater with higher HbA1c in the MRF but not the ASCVD subgroup (P-interaction = 0.0064). This was driven by a stronger association of HbA1c with cardiovascular death and stroke in the MRF than in the ASCVD populations (P-interactions = 0.0670 and 0.0004, respectively). The risk for the cardiorenal and renal-specific outcomes was more prominently increased with higher HbA1c in the MRF versus ASCVD subgroup (P-interaction = 0.0093 and 0.0704). Of note, the risk of adverse outcomes was higher in the ASCVD subgroup than in the MRF subgroup (Fig. 1B and C).

Figure 1

Cardiovascular and renal outcomes by baseline HbA1c. Adjusted HRs of outcomes in the overall study population (A), in patients with established ASCVD (B), and in patients with risk factors (C).

Figure 1

Cardiovascular and renal outcomes by baseline HbA1c. Adjusted HRs of outcomes in the overall study population (A), in patients with established ASCVD (B), and in patients with risk factors (C).

Close modal
Table 1

Risk of adverse outcomes with higher baseline HbA1c

Overall populationASCVD populationMRF populationP-interaction
Cardiovascular death/HHF 1.12 (1.06–1.19), <0.0001 1.10 (1.03–1.17), 0.0072 1.18 (1.08–1.29), 0.0004 0.2430 
MACE 1.08 (1.04–1.13), 0.0002 1.04 (0.99–1.10), 0.1307 1.18 (1.10–1.26), <0.0001 0.0064 
HHF 1.06 (0.99–1.15), 0.1095 1.07 (0.97–1.17), 0.1722 1.08 (0.94–1.23), 0.2736 0.8204 
Cardiovascular death 1.17 (1.09–1.26), <0.0001 1.11 (1.01–1.22), 0.0281 1.30 (1.16–1.46), <0.0001 0.0670 
Myocardial infarction 1.05 (0.99–1.12), 0.0768 1.03 (0.96–1.10), 0.4139 1.12 (1.00–1.25), 0.0462 0.3223 
Ischemic stroke 1.07 (0.99–1.16), 0.0815 0.97 (0.87–1.07), 0.5460 1.25 (1.11–1.40), 0.0001 0.0004 
Cardiorenal outcome 1.17 (1.11–1.24), <0.0001 1.09 (1.01–1.17), 0.0263 1.29 (1.18–1.40), <0.0001 0.0093 
Renal-specific outcome 1.17 (1.07–1.27), 0.0003 1.07 (0.94–1.21), 0.2905 1.26 (1.12–1.42), <0.0001 0.0704 
Overall populationASCVD populationMRF populationP-interaction
Cardiovascular death/HHF 1.12 (1.06–1.19), <0.0001 1.10 (1.03–1.17), 0.0072 1.18 (1.08–1.29), 0.0004 0.2430 
MACE 1.08 (1.04–1.13), 0.0002 1.04 (0.99–1.10), 0.1307 1.18 (1.10–1.26), <0.0001 0.0064 
HHF 1.06 (0.99–1.15), 0.1095 1.07 (0.97–1.17), 0.1722 1.08 (0.94–1.23), 0.2736 0.8204 
Cardiovascular death 1.17 (1.09–1.26), <0.0001 1.11 (1.01–1.22), 0.0281 1.30 (1.16–1.46), <0.0001 0.0670 
Myocardial infarction 1.05 (0.99–1.12), 0.0768 1.03 (0.96–1.10), 0.4139 1.12 (1.00–1.25), 0.0462 0.3223 
Ischemic stroke 1.07 (0.99–1.16), 0.0815 0.97 (0.87–1.07), 0.5460 1.25 (1.11–1.40), 0.0001 0.0004 
Cardiorenal outcome 1.17 (1.11–1.24), <0.0001 1.09 (1.01–1.17), 0.0263 1.29 (1.18–1.40), <0.0001 0.0093 
Renal-specific outcome 1.17 (1.07–1.27), 0.0003 1.07 (0.94–1.21), 0.2905 1.26 (1.12–1.42), <0.0001 0.0704 

Data are HR (95% CI), P value of the risk for outcome per 1% greater baseline HbA1c. Models are adjusted by treatment arm, age, sex, BMI, diabetes duration, eGFR, history of HF, and use of insulin, sulfonylureas, metformin, and statins. The model of the overall population is also adjusted for risk category (ASCVD vs. MRF).

Cardiovascular Renal and Metabolic Outcomes With Dapagliflozin Versus Placebo

In the overall study population, dapagliflozin led to a reduction in cardiovascular death/HHF, driven by a reduction in HHF. The cardiorenal and renal-specific outcomes were also markedly reduced with dapagliflozin. These outcomes were consistently reduced irrespective of baseline HbA1c (P-interaction > 0.05) (Fig. 2 and Supplementary Fig. 1). Similar trends were observed in the ASCVD and MRF subgroups (Supplementary Figs. 2 and 3). Plotting the risk for outcomes by HbA1c as restricted cubic splines with dapagliflozin versus placebo revealed that the benefits of dapagliflozin were generally maintained across all HbA1c levels (Fig. 3).

Figure 2

Cardiovascular and renal outcomes with dapagliflozin vs. placebo in the overall study population.

Figure 2

Cardiovascular and renal outcomes with dapagliflozin vs. placebo in the overall study population.

Close modal
Figure 3

Probability of outcomes and 95% CIs for dapagliflozin and placebo by baseline HbA1c as restricted cubic splines. MACE (A), cardiovascular death/HHF (B), HHF (C), cardiorenal outcomes (D), and renal-specific outcomes (E) with dapagliflozin (blue) vs. placebo (red). The vertical lines represent the 10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles of HbA1c in the overall population.

Figure 3

Probability of outcomes and 95% CIs for dapagliflozin and placebo by baseline HbA1c as restricted cubic splines. MACE (A), cardiovascular death/HHF (B), HHF (C), cardiorenal outcomes (D), and renal-specific outcomes (E) with dapagliflozin (blue) vs. placebo (red). The vertical lines represent the 10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles of HbA1c in the overall population.

Close modal

HbA1c levels following baseline were lower with dapagliflozin versus placebo at all time points in all HbA1c subgroups (P < 0.01) (Supplementary Fig. 4). In the higher versus lower baseline HbA1c subgroups, the difference in HbA1c between dapagliflozin and placebo was greater (P-trend interaction = 0.0006 at month 48).

Our study sheds more light on the association of HbA1c with cardiovascular and renal outcomes in a broad population of patients with type 2 diabetes and increased risk of cardiovascular disease. Overall, higher baseline HbA1c was associated with a higher rate of adverse cardiovascular outcomes and with a higher rate of adverse renal outcomes. Notably, the association of HbA1c with outcomes was stronger in the MRF versus the ASCVD subgroup. The risk for HHF was not modified by baseline HbA1c overall or in the ASCVD or MRF subgroup. Nonetheless, dapagliflozin reduced the risk of cardiovascular death/HHF, HHF, adverse renal outcomes across all HbA1c categories with no heterogeneity.

In a large observational study, higher HbA1c was associated with a greater risk of mortality, heart failure, and macrovascular complications, yet patients with prior stroke or myocardial infarction were excluded from this analysis (20). In the Saxagliptin Assessment of Vascular Outcomes Recorded in Patients with Diabetes Mellitus–Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction 53 (SAVOR-TIMI 53) trial, higher baseline HbA1c was associated with a greater risk of macrovascular complications, yet not of HHF (21). In the Trial Evaluating Cardiovascular Outcomes With Sitagliptin (TECOS), baseline and time-updated HbA1c were each associated with a higher risk of HHF and additional macrovascular outcomes (22). To the contrary, an association between baseline or 1-month HbA1c levels and the risk of MACE was not found in the Examination of Cardiovascular Outcomes with Alogliptin versus Standard of Care (EXAMINE) trial (23). Of note, participants in the EXAMINE trial were of highest cardiovascular risk among these three dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitor cardiovascular outcome studies. These patients were within 15–90 days of an acute coronary syndrome and had the highest rate of three-point MACE among the three trials (24,25). Thus, it is possible that their enhanced cardiovascular risk masked the modest impact of glycemic control (23).

In the current study, higher baseline HbA1c was associated with a higher risk of MACE in the MRF but not the ASCVD subgroup. A differential association of glycemic control and cardiovascular outcomes has also been reported in a large observational study, whereby the risk of cardiovascular events was lower with lower HbA1c in patients in the low to moderate comorbidity subgroup but not in the high comorbidity subgroup (26). These data may support the notion that while glycemic control is associated with cardiovascular outcomes in lower-risk patients, the role of glycemia is minimized with increased cardiovascular risk. This further highlights the importance of prescribing drug classes that have an independent effect in reducing cardiovascular risk to high-risk patients with diabetes, irrespective of their prevailing glycemic control.

HHF was not associated with baseline HbA1c in the overall study population or within the ASCVD or MRF subgroups. These observations are in contrast to multiple observational studies indicating a greater risk of HHF with higher HbA1c, with some indicating a U-shaped association (20,27,28). It is possible that our cohort of patients may be at higher risk for HHF; thus, while diabetes and poor glycemic control are well-established risk factors for heart failure, once clinical or subclinical heart failure has ensued, the association between glycemia and disease exacerbation is diminished.

The risk of adverse renal outcomes was strongly associated with baseline HbA1c in the MRF subgroup, yet the magnitude of this association was again much smaller in the ASCVD subgroup. The renal-specific outcome comprised hard renal outcomes, including a sustained decrease of ≥40% in eGFR to <60 mL/min/1.73 m2, end-stage renal disease, and renal death. While reducing HbA1c has been clearly shown to reduce macroalbuminuria, evidence supporting its role in improving eGFR-based renal outcomes has been limited (2,29,30). Improved glycemic control appears to have a role in the primary prevention of diabetic kidney disease, particularly when implemented early (31). While the eGFR in the ASCVD subgroup was only slightly lower than that of the MRF subgroup, and the urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio somewhat higher (19), it is possible that in the presence of prevailing ASCVD, subclinical chronic kidney disease has already ensued, limiting the association between baseline glycemia on kidney outcomes.

Randomization to dapagliflozin versus placebo reduced the risk of cardiovascular death/HHF, driven by a reduction in HHF, and led to a reduction in the rate of adverse renal outcomes (17). This observation persisted at all levels of baseline HbA1c, including in those with HbA1c <7%. No heterogeneity of the effect of dapagliflozin by baseline HbA1c was noted in the ASCVD or MRF subgroups. Notably, the effect of dapagliflozin on HbA1c was greater with higher HbA1c, yet the cardiovascular and renal benefits were consistently maintained irrespective of baseline HbA1c. Similar results have been noted with empagliflozin and canagliflozin, indicating the modest contributory role, if any, of glycemic control per se on the benefits of SGLT2 inhibitors on cardiovascular and renal outcomes (3234). In a recently published mediation analysis, a limited role of baseline HbA1c and its change on the beneficial effects of dapagliflozin on HHF has been demonstrated as well (35). These data support that the cardiac and renal beneficial effect of dapagliflozin persist irrespective of baseline HbA1c, even in those seemingly on target with an HbA1c <7%. We have also recently demonstrated that these benefits persist irrespective of baseline glucose-lowering agents (36). Moreover, a reduced risk of HHF and adverse renal outcomes with SGLT2 inhibitors has been recently demonstrated in patients without diabetes, further supporting the HbA1c-independent benefits of SGLT2 inhibitors (3739).

Several limitations of our analysis should be considered. The association of HbA1c with cardiovascular and renal outcomes is post hoc and, thus, should be viewed as hypothesis generating. Moreover, the number of events were quite small in some of the HbA1c subgroups, particularly in the MRF population, and we did not adjust for multiple comparisons. Finally, only the baseline HbA1c was considered in these analyses, and we did not account for the impact of HbA1c changes occurring over time on cardiovascular and renal outcomes.

In conclusion, our study demonstrates an association of high baseline HbA1c with adverse cardiovascular and renal outcomes, which were mainly observed in the MRF and not the ASCVD subgroup, highlighting the greater importance of glycemic control early on, before complications ensue. However, the beneficial effect of dapagliflozin on HHF and adverse renal outcomes was consistently observed in the overall population and in both subgroups. These data highlight the importance of including SGLT2 inhibitors in the treatment regimen of all patients with type 2 diabetes with or at high risk for ASCVD, irrespective of glycemic control.

Clinical trial reg. no. NCT01730534, clinicaltrials.gov

See accompanying article, p. 766.

This article contains supplementary material online at https://doi.org/10.2337/figshare.17118962.

Funding and Duality of Interest. The sponsors of DECLARE-TIMI 58 was initially AstraZeneca and Bristol-Myers Squibb, and AstraZeneca later became the sole sponsor of the study. DECLARE-TIMI 58 was a collaboration between the funder and two academic research organizations (TIMI Study Group and Hadassah Medical Organization). A.C. reports grants and personal fees from AstraZeneca and Novo Nordisk and personal fees from Boehringer Ingelheim, Eli Lilly, Pfizer, and Medial EarlySign. S.D.W. discloses grants from AstraZeneca, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Sanofi Aventis, and Amgen; grants and personal fees from Arena, Daiichi Sankyo, Eisai, Eli Lilly, and Janssen; grants and consulting fees from Merck (also his spouse is employed by Merck); and personal fees from Aegerion, Allergan, AngelMed, Boehringer Ingelheim, Boston Clinical Research Institute, Icon Clinical, Lexicon, St. Jude Medical, Xoma, Servier, AstraZeneca, and Bristol-Myers Squibb. O.M. reports grants and personal fees from AstraZeneca, Bristol-Myers Squibb, and Novo Nordisk and personal fees from Eli Lilly, Sanofi, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Boehringer Ingelheim, Johnson & Johnson, and Novartis. S.A.M. and E.L.G. report research grant support through Brigham and Women’s Hospital from Abbott, Amgen, Aralez, AstraZeneca, Bayer, Daiichi Sankyo, Eisai, GlaxoSmithKline, Intarcia, Janssen, MedImmune, Merck, Novartis, Pfizer, Poxel, Quark Pharmaceuticals, Roche, Takeda, The Medicines Company, and Zora Biosciences. D.L.B. discloses the following relationships: advisory boards for Boehringer Ingelheim, Cardax, CellProthera, Cereno Scientific, Elsevier Practice Update Cardiology, Janssen, Level Ex, Medscape Cardiology, MyoKardia, NirvaMed, Novo Nordisk, PhaseBio, PLx Pharma, Regado Biosciences, and Stasys; board of directors for Boston VA Research Institute, Society of Cardiovascular Patient Care, and TOBESOFT; inaugural chair of the American Heart Association Quality Oversight Committee; data monitoring committees for the Baim Institute for Clinical Research (formerly Harvard Clinical Research Institute, for the PORTICO trial, funded by St. Jude Medical, now Abbott), Boston Scientific (chair, PEITHO trial), Cleveland Clinic (including for the CENTERA THV System in Intermediate Risk Patients Who Have Symptomatic, Severe, Calcific, Aortic Stenosis [ExCEED] trial, funded by Edwards), Contego Medical (chair, PERFORMANCE 2), Duke Clinical Research Institute, Mayo Clinic, Mount Sinai School of Medicine (for the ENVISAGE trial, funded by Daiichi Sankyo), Novartis, and Population Health Research Institute; honoraria from the American College of Cardiology (ACC) (senior associate editor, Clinical Trials and News, ACC.org, and chair, ACC Accreditation Oversight Committee), Arnold and Porter law firm (work related to Sanofi/Bristol-Myers Squibb clopidogrel litigation), Baim Institute for Clinical Research (formerly Harvard Clinical Research Institute; Randomized Evaluation of Dual Antithrombotic Therapy with Dabigatran versus Triple Therapy with Warfarin in Patients with Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention [RE-DUAL PCI] clinical trial steering committee funded by Boehringer Ingelheim; AEGIS-II executive committee funded by CSL Behring), Belvoir Publications (editor in chief, Harvard Heart Letter), Canadian Medical and Surgical Knowledge Translation Research Group (clinical trial steering committees), Cowen and Company, Duke Clinical Research Institute (clinical trial steering committees, including for A Trial Comparing Cardiovascular Safety of Degarelix Versus Leuprolide in Patients With Advanced Prostate Cancer and Cardiovascular Disease [PRONOUNCE] trial, funded by Ferring Pharmaceuticals), HMP Global (editor in chief, Journal of Invasive Cardiology), Journal of the American College of Cardiology (guest editor, associate editor), K2P (co-chair, interdisciplinary curriculum), Level Ex, Medtelligence/ReachMD (continuing medical education [CME] steering committees), MJH Life Sciences, Piper Sandler, Population Health Research Institute (for the Cardiovascular Outcomes for People Using Anticoagulation Strategies [COMPASS] operations committee, publications committee, steering committee, and U.S. national coleader, funded by Bayer), Slack Publications (chief medical editor, Cardiology Today’s Intervention), Society of Cardiovascular Patient Care (secretary/treasurer), and WebMD (CME steering committees); other for Clinical Cardiology (deputy editor), NCDR’s ACTION Registry Steering Committee (chair), and Veterans Affairs Cardiovascular Assessment, Reporting and Tracking Research and Publications Committee (chair); research funding from Abbott, Afimmune, Amarin, Amgen, AstraZeneca, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Cardax, CellProthera, Cereno Scientific, Chiesi, CSL Behring, Eisai, Ethicon, Faraday Pharmaceuticals, Ferring Pharmaceuticals, Forest Laboratories, Fractyl, Garmin, HLS Therapeutics, Idorsia, Ironwood, Ischemix, Janssen, Lexicon, Eli Lilly, Medtronic, MyoKardia, NirvaMed, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, Owkin, Pfizer, PhaseBio, PLx Pharma, Regeneron, Roche, Sanofi, Stasys, Synaptic, The Medicines Company, and 89Bio; royalties from Elsevier (editor, Cardiovascular Intervention: A Companion to Braunwald’s Heart Disease); site coinvestigator for Abbott, Biotronik, Boston Scientific, CSI, St. Jude Medical (now Abbott), Philips, and Svelte; trustee for the American College of Cardiology; and unfunded research for FlowCo, Merck, and Takeda. L.A.L. has received research funding from, has provided CME on behalf of, and/or has acted as an advisor to AstraZeneca, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Eli Lilly, Janssen, Lexicon, Merck, Novo Nordisk, Pfizer, Sanofi, and Servier. D.K.M. reports honoraria for trial leadership from Boehringer Ingelheim, Sanofi Aventis, Merck & Co., Pfizer, Akebia, AstraZeneca, Novo Nordisk, Esperion, AbbVie, Eli Lilly USA, Eidos, Arena, Dynavax, Lexicon, Otsuka, and CSL Behring and honoraria for consultancy from Eli Lilly USA, Boehringer Ingelheim, Merck & Co., Novo Nordisk, Applied Therapeutics, Metavant, Sanofi Aventis, Afimmune, CSL Behring, and Bayer. J.P.H.W., outside the submitted work, has grants, personal fees for lectures, and consultancy fees (paid to his institution) from AstraZeneca and Novo Nordisk; personal fees for lectures and consultancy fees (paid to his institution) from Boehringer Ingelheim, Janssen, Eli Lilly, Mundipharma, Napp, Sanofi, and Takeda; and consultancy fees (paid to his institution) from Rhythm Pharmaceuticals and Wilmington Healthcare. I.A.M.G.-N. and A.M.L. are employees at BioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca. M.S.S. reports research support from Abbott, Amgen, Anthos Therapeutics, AstraZeneca, Bayer, Daiichi-Sankyo, Eisai, Intarcia, IONIS, Medicines Company, MedImmune, Merck, Novartis, Pfizer, and Quark Pharmaceuticals and has received consulting fees from Althera, Amgen, Anthos Therapeutics, AstraZeneca, Beren Therapeutics, Bristol-Myers Squibb, CVS Caremark, DalCor, Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories, Fibrogen, IFM Therapeutics, Intarcia, MedImmune, Merck, Moderna, Novo Nordisk, and Silence Therapeutics. I.R. reports personal fees from AstraZeneca, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Boehringer Ingelheim, Concenter BioPharma and Silkim, Eli Lilly, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Novo Nordisk, Orgenesis, Pfizer, Sanofi, SmartZyme Innovation, Panaxia, FuturRx, Insuline Medical, Medial EarlySign, CameraEyes, Exscopia, Dermal Biomics, Johnson & Johnson, Novartis, Teva, GlucoMe, and DarioHealth. No other potential conflicts of interest relevant to this article were reported.

Data analyses were done by the academic TIMI Study Group, which has access to the complete study database, allowing independent analyses of the results, any discrepancies were resolved by discussion. The DECLARE-TIMI 58 publication committee made the decision to submit for publication. The funder was involved in the study design, data collection, data analysis, interpretation, and writing of this report.

Author Contributions. A.C. wrote the original draft of the manuscript. A.C., S.D.W., O.M., S.A.M., E.L.G., I.Y., A.R., D.L.B., L.A.L., D.K.M., J.P.H.W., I.A.M.G.-N., A.M.L., M.S.S., and I.R. contributed to the investigation and to the writing, review, editing of the manuscript. A.C., S.D.W., O.M., S.A.M., D.L.B., L.A.L., D.K.M., J.P.H.W., I.A.M.G.-N., A.M.L., M.S.S., and I.R. contributed to the conceptualization and provided supervision. A.C., S.D.W., O.M., I.A.M.G.-N., A.M.L., M.S.S., and I.R. contributed to the project administration. A.C., S.D.W., S.A.M., E.L.G., I.A.M.G.-N., A.M.L., M.S.S., and I.R. provided validation. S.D.W., S.A.M., E.L.G., M.S.S., and I.R. contributed to the formal analysis. S.D.W., S.A.M., I.A.M.G.-N., A.M.L., M.S.S., and I.R. contributed to the data curation. S.D.W., I.A.M.G.-N., A.M.L., M.S.S., and I.R. acquired funding. A.C. and I.R. are the guarantors of this work and, as such, had full access to all the data in the study and take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.

Prior Presentation. Parts of this study were presented in abstract form at the 81st Scientific Sessions of the American Diabetes Association, 25–29 June 2021.

1.
American Diabetes Association
.
Glycemic targets: Standards of medical care in diabetes−2021
.
Diabetes Care
2021
;
44
(
Suppl. 1
):
S73
S84
2.
Zoungas
S
,
Arima
H
,
Gerstein
HC
, et al.;
Collaborators on Trials of Lowering Glucose (CONTROL) group
.
Effects of intensive glucose control on microvascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes: a meta-analysis of individual participant data from randomised controlled trials
.
Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol
2017
;
5
:
431
437
3.
Ray
KK
,
Seshasai
SRK
,
Wijesuriya
S
, et al
.
Effect of intensive control of glucose on cardiovascular outcomes and death in patients with diabetes mellitus: a meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials
.
Lancet
2009
;
373
:
1765
1772
4.
Skyler
JS
,
Bergenstal
R
,
Bonow
RO
, et al.;
American Diabetes Association
;
American College of Cardiology Foundation
;
American Heart Association
.
Intensive glycemic control and the prevention of cardiovascular events: implications of the ACCORD, ADVANCE, and VA diabetes trials: a position statement of the American Diabetes Association and a scientific statement of the American College of Cardiology Foundation and the American Heart Association
.
Diabetes Care
2009
;
32
:
187
192
5.
Cahn
A
,
Cernea
S
,
Raz
I
.
Outcome studies and safety as guide for decision making in treating patients with type 2 diabetes
.
Rev Endocr Metab Disord
2016
;
17
:
117
127
6.
Patel
KV
,
McGuire
DK
.
Long-term follow-up of intensive glycaemic control in type 2 diabetes
.
Nat Rev Cardiol
2019
;
16
:
517
518
7.
Turnbull
FM
,
Abraira
C
,
Anderson
RJ
, et al.;
Control Group
.
Intensive glucose control and macrovascular outcomes in type 2 diabetes [published correction appears in Diabetologia 2009;52:2470]
.
Diabetologia
2009
;
52
:
2288
2298
8.
Khunti
K
,
Seidu
S
.
Therapeutic inertia and the legacy of dysglycemia on the microvascular and macrovascular complications of diabetes
.
Diabetes Care
2019
;
42
:
349
351
9.
Raz
I
,
Riddle
MC
,
Rosenstock
J
, et al
.
Personalized management of hyperglycemia in type 2 diabetes: reflections from a Diabetes Care Editors’ Expert Forum
.
Diabetes Care
2013
;
36
:
1779
1788
10.
Sattar
N
.
Revisiting the links between glycaemia, diabetes and cardiovascular disease
.
Diabetologia
2013
;
56
:
686
695
11.
Ghosh-Swaby
OR
,
Goodman
SG
,
Leiter
LA
, et al
.
Glucose-lowering drugs or strategies, atherosclerotic cardiovascular events, and heart failure in people with or at risk of type 2 diabetes: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised cardiovascular outcome trials
.
Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol
2020
;
8
:
418
435
12.
Giugliano
D
,
Maiorino
MI
,
Bellastella
G
,
Chiodini
P
,
Esposito
K
.
Glycemic control, preexisting cardiovascular disease, and risk of major cardiovascular events in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: systematic review with meta-analysis of cardiovascular outcome trials and intensive glucose control trials
.
J Am Heart Assoc
2019
;
8
:
e012356
13.
Roussel
R
,
Steg
PG
,
Mohammedi
K
,
Marre
M
,
Potier
L
.
Prevention of cardiovascular disease through reduction of glycaemic exposure in type 2 diabetes: a perspective on glucose-lowering interventions
.
Diabetes Obes Metab
2018
;
20
:
238
244
14.
Ambrosi
P
,
Daumas
A
,
Villani
P
,
Giorgi
R
.
Glycosylated hemoglobin as a surrogate for the prevention of cardiovascular events in cardiovascular outcome trials comparing new antidiabetic drugs to placebo
.
Cardiology
2020
;
145
:
370
374
15.
Cosentino
F
,
Grant
PJ
,
Aboyans
V
, et al.;
ESC Scientific Document Group
.
2019 ESC guidelines on diabetes, pre-diabetes, and cardiovascular diseases developed in collaboration with the EASD
.
Eur Heart J
2020
;
41
:
255
323
16.
American Diabetes Association
.
9. Pharmacologic approaches to glycemic treatment: Standards of Medical Care in Diabetes–2021
.
Diabetes Care
2021
;
44
(
Suppl. 1
):
S111
S124
17.
Wiviott
SD
,
Raz
I
,
Bonaca
MP
, et al.;
DECLARE–TIMI 58 Investigators
.
Dapagliflozin and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Type 2 Diabetes
.
N Engl J Med
2019
;
380
:
347
357
18.
Wiviott
SD
,
Raz
I
,
Bonaca
MP
, et al
.
The design and rationale for the Dapagliflozin Effect on Cardiovascular Events (DECLARE)-TIMI 58 Trial
.
Am Heart J
2018
;
200
:
83
89
19.
Raz
I
,
Mosenzon
O
,
Bonaca
MP
, et al
.
DECLARE-TIMI 58: participants’ baseline characteristics
.
Diabetes Obes Metab
2018
;
20
:
1102
1110
20.
Rawshani
A
,
Rawshani
A
,
Franzén
S
, et al
.
Risk factors, mortality, and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes
.
N Engl J Med
2018
;
379
:
633
644
21.
Cavender
MA
,
Scirica
BM
,
Raz
I
, et al
.
Cardiovascular outcomes of patients in SAVOR-TIMI 53 by baseline hemoglobin A1c
.
Am J Med
2016
;
129
:
340.e1
340.e8
22.
McAlister
FA
,
Zheng
Y
,
Westerhout
CM
, et al.;
TECOS Study Group
.
Association between glycated haemoglobin levels and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease: a secondary analysis of the TECOS randomized clinical trial
.
Eur J Heart Fail
2020
;
22
:
2026
2034
23.
Heller
SR
,
Bergenstal
RM
,
White
WB
, et al.;
EXAMINE Investigators
.
Relationship of glycated haemoglobin and reported hypoglycaemia to cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes and recent acute coronary syndrome events: the EXAMINE trial
.
Diabetes Obes Metab
2017
;
19
:
664
671
24.
Son
JW
,
Kim
S
.
Dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitors and the risk of cardiovascular disease in patients with type 2 diabetes: a tale of three studies
.
Diabetes Metab J
2015
;
39
:
373
383
25.
Abbas
AS
,
Dehbi
HM
,
Ray
KK
.
Cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular safety of dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibition: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled cardiovascular outcome trials
.
Diabetes Obes Metab
2016
;
18
:
295
299
26.
Greenfield
S
,
Billimek
J
,
Pellegrini
F
, et al
.
Comorbidity affects the relationship between glycemic control and cardiovascular outcomes in diabetes: a cohort study
.
Ann Intern Med
2009
;
151
:
854
860
27.
Parry
HM
,
Deshmukh
H
,
Levin
D
, et al
.
Both high and low HbA1c predict incident heart failure in type 2 diabetes mellitus
.
Circ Heart Fail
2015
;
8
:
236
242
28.
Lin
Y-T
,
Huang
W-L
,
Wu
H-P
,
Chang
M-P
,
Chen
C-C
.
Association of mean and variability of HbA1c with heart failure in patients with type 2 diabetes
.
J Clin Med
2021
;
10
:
1401
29.
Error in text in: role of intensive glucose control in development of renal end points in type 2 diabetes mellitus: systematic review and meta-analysis
.
Arch Intern Med
2012
;
172
:
1095
30.
Perkovic
V
,
Heerspink
HL
,
Chalmers
J
, et al.;
ADVANCE Collaborative Group
.
Intensive glucose control improves kidney outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes
.
Kidney Int
2013
;
83
:
517
523
31.
MacIsaac
RJ
,
Jerums
G
,
Ekinci
EI
.
Glycemic control as primary prevention for diabetic kidney disease
.
Adv Chronic Kidney Dis
2018
;
25
:
141
148
32.
Cannon
CP
,
Perkovic
V
,
Agarwal
R
, et al
.
Evaluating the effects of canagliflozin on cardiovascular and renal events in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and chronic kidney disease according to baseline HbA1c, including those with HbA1c <7%: results from the CREDENCE trial
.
Circulation
2020
;
141
:
407
410
33.
Inzucchi
SE
,
Kosiborod
M
,
Fitchett
D
, et al
.
Improvement in cardiovascular outcomes with empagliflozin is independent of glycemic control
.
Circulation
2018
;
138
:
1904
1907
34.
Cooper
ME
,
Inzucchi
SE
,
Zinman
B
, et al
.
Glucose control and the effect of empagliflozin on kidney outcomes in type 2 diabetes: an analysis from the EMPA-REG OUTCOME trial
.
Am J Kidney Dis
2019
;
74
:
713
715
35.
Berg
D
,
Wiviott
S
,
Goodrich
E
, et al
.
mediation analysis for dapagliflozin and the reduction in hospitalization for heart failure in DECLARE-TIMI 58
.
J Am Coll Cardiol
2021
;
77
:
869
36.
Cahn
A
,
Wiviott
SD
,
Mosenzon
O
, et al
.
Cardiorenal outcomes with dapagliflozin by baseline glucose-lowering agents: post hoc analyses from DECLARE-TIMI 58
.
Diabetes Obes Metab
2021
;
23
:
29
38
37.
McMurray
JJV
,
Solomon
SD
,
Inzucchi
SE
, et al.;
DAPA-HF Trial Committees and Investigators
.
Dapagliflozin in patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction
.
N Engl J Med
2019
;
381
:
1995
2008
38.
Heerspink
HJL
,
Stefánsson
BV
,
Correa-Rotter
R
, et al.;
DAPA-CKD Trial Committees and Investigators
.
Dapagliflozin in patients with chronic kidney disease
.
N Engl J Med
2020
;
383
:
1436
1446
39.
Packer
M
,
Anker
SD
,
Butler
J
, et al.;
EMPEROR-Reduced Trial Investigators
.
Cardiovascular and renal outcomes with empagliflozin in heart failure
.
N Engl J Med
2020
;
383
:
1413
1424
Readers may use this article as long as the work is properly cited, the use is educational and not for profit, and the work is not altered. More information is available at https://www.diabetesjournals.org/journals/pages/license.