Huh et al. (1) performed what is to date the biggest population-based cohort study aimed at evaluating the association between remnant cholesterol (remnant-C) and the risk of developing type 2 diabetes (T2D). Their main conclusion was that there was a strong relationship between remnant-C levels and the risk of T2D. The validity of this result needs some consideration.

First, some aspects of the methodology raise questions. In the study, remnant-C was calculated as total cholesterol minus LDL cholesterol (LDL-C) minus HDL cholesterol (HDL-C). It seems that LDL-C was calculated using the Friedewald formula, but the authors also mentioned that LDL-C was measured using the enzymatic method. Which method was used? The term “remnant-C” for cases in which LDL-C is calculated and not measured might be somewhat misleading: remnant-C would simply be fasting triglycerides (TG) divided by 2.17. Indeed, this estimate of remnant lipoprotein cholesterol includes cholesterol in TG-enriched lipoproteins not yet processed to remnants.

Second, there are some issues with the association of baseline lipid values with incident T2D. There is a mistake in Table 2: 0.26 mmol/L does not correspond to 10 mg/dL for TG, and 0.1 mmol/L does not correspond to 10 mg/dL for non–HDL-C. Another important question is whether remnant-C levels have a predictive value independent of TG. The increments selected for hazard ratios seem to be arbitrary and even biased to highlight the association of remnant-C with T2D over TG. The highest hazard ratio for each increase of 1 SD was for TG. Moreover, TG were not included in the fully adjusted model used for estimating the risk of T2D across quartiles of remnant-C.

Establishing which mechanisms are involved in explaining how remnant-C levels contribute to the development of T2D is a challenge. As the authors indicated, the most reliable explanation is that remnant lipoproteins load β-cells with cholesterol, generating lipotoxicity, but there are no major studies that prove this hypothesis. Mendelian randomization studies do not support a role for raised circulating TG levels in influencing T2D, glucose levels, or insulin resistance (2). In the case of remnant-C, Mendelian randomization studies are needed to confirm or refute the conclusions obtained in observational studies.

See accompanying articles, pp. e204 and e205.

Duality of Interest. No potential conflicts of interest relevant to this article were reported.

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