Objective: Ketones may be regarded as a thrifty fuel for peripheral tissues, but their clinical prognostic significance still remains unclear. We investigated the association between spontaneous fasting ketonuria and incident diabetes in conjunction with changes in metabolic parameters in a large population-based, observational study.
Research Design and Methods: We analyzed a total of 8,703 individuals free of diabetes at baseline in the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study, a community-based, 12-year prospective study. Subjects with (n=195) or without fasting ketonuria were 1:4 matched by propensity score. Incident diabetes was defined as: fasting plasma glucose ≥126 mg/dL, 2-hour glucose ≥200 mg/dL on biennial 75g oral glucose tolerance test, or current antidiabetic medication. Using Cox regression models, hazard ratios for developing diabetes associated with the presence of ketonuria at baseline were analyzed.
Results: Over 12 years, of the 925 subjects in the propensity score matched cohort, 190 (20.5%) developed diabetes. The incidence rate of diabetes was significantly lower in subjects with spontaneous ketonuria compared to those without ketonuria (adjusted hazard ratio 0.64 [95% confidence interval=0.42-0.99]. This result was replicated in the whole cohort (HR 0.67 [95% CI: 0.46-0.98] after multivariate adjustment). During follow-up, subjects with ketonuria at baseline maintained lower 1-hour and 2-hour glucose levels, and a higher insulinogenic index during follow-up despite comparable baseline values.
Conclusions: The presence of spontaneous fasting ketonuria was significantly associated with a reduced incidence rate of diabetes, independently of metabolic parameters. Our findings suggest spontaneous fasting ketonuria is a stable phenotype and a novel signature in the modulation of glucose metabolism.
S.J. Cho: None. I. Lee: None. S. Lee: None. E. Kang: None. E. Ferrannini: None. Y. Lee: None. G. Kim: None. B. Cha: None.