Individuals with diabetic kidney disease (DKD) are at risk for progression, heart failure, and death. We assessed the association of KidneyIntelX, a bioprognostictest validated for DKD progression, with a composite time-to-event endpoint of 57% eGFR decline, kidney failure, heart failure hospitalization (HFH) , or death in a posthoc analysis of a subgroup of CANVAS participants with DKD. sTNFR-1, sTNFR-2, and KIM-1 were measured via proprietary assays, and KidneyIntelX scores were calculated using the existing algorithm. Hazard ratios for high vs. low-risk strata for the composite outcome were adjusted for age, sex, race, treatment arm, baseline CVD, HbA1c, SBP, DBP, LDL, BMI) . During 5.6 years follow-up, 282 (22%) of the 1278 CANVAS participants with DKD experienced the outcome (57% decline in eGFR/ESKD 3%, HFH 6%, death 16%) . The adjusted HR for the composite outcome in KidneyIntelX high-risk group was 2.7 (95% CI 1.9 to 3.8) vs. the low-risk group. Canagliflozin reduced the risk for the composite event vs. placebo, with larger absolute risk reductions for the high-risk stratum (11%) , compared to intermediate (6%) or low-risk strata (4%) (p<0.01) .

In conclusion, KidneyIntelX successfully risk-stratified adults with DKD for clinical outcomes. Absolute risk reductions with canagliflozin were greatest in the high-risk stratum, thereby potentially allowing its use to identify patients most likely to benefit from treatment.

Disclosure

G.N.Nadkarni: Advisory Panel; Renalytix, Consultant; AstraZeneca, Reata Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Renalytix, Siemens, Other Relationship; Renalytix, Stock/Shareholder; Renalytix. D.Takale: None. B.Neal: Other Relationship; Janssen Research & Development, LLC. K.W.Mahaffey: Consultant; Novo Nordisk. Y.Yavin: Employee; Janssen Research & Development, LLC. M.K.Hansen: Employee; Janssen Research & Development, LLC. F.Fleming: Employee; Renalytix. H.L.Heerspink: Consultant; AstraZeneca, Bayer AG, Boehringer Ingelheim International GmbH, Chinook Therapeutics Inc., CSL Behring, Gilead Sciences, Inc., Goldfinch Bio, Inc., Janssen Research & Development, LLC, Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma Corporation, Mundipharma, Traveere Pharmaceuticals, Research Support; AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim International GmbH, Novo Nordisk A/S. S.Coca: Advisory Panel; 3ive Labs, Nuwellis, Reprieve Cardiovascular, Consultant; Axon Therapies, Bayer AG, Boehringer Ingelheim International GmbH, Vifor Pharma Management Ltd., Stock/Shareholder; pulseData, Renalytix.

Funding

Renalytix

Readers may use this article as long as the work is properly cited, the use is educational and not for profit, and the work is not altered. More information is available at http://www.diabetesjournals.org/content/license.