Diabetes is associated with a high risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) but the risk of non-SCD is even higher. We aimed to assess cardiac electrical markers for predicting SCD in patients with T2D.

SURDIAGENE is a French prospective cohort of T2D patients. Baseline 12-lead ECG of 1285 (64±years; 43% female) patients were concordantly evaluated by 2 cardiologists to measure 15 ECG-derived markers. Causes of death were adjudicated by an independent committee. The primary outcome was SCD which was defined as a sudden, natural, and unexpected death, with preceding duration of symptoms <24 hours for witnessed cases and <1 hour witnessed cases. Bonferroni-adjusted cause-specific Cox proportional hazards and Fine and Gray competing-risk models were performed to identify independent predictors (adjustment for age, sex, HbA1c, NT-proBNP, eGFR, ACR, history of myocardial infarction, diuretic, and insulin) . At baseline, mean diabetes duration was 14±years and mean HbA1c 7.8±1.6%. During a median follow up of 7.4 years, 446 deaths occurred including 83 (18.6%) SCD. In univariate analysis, R wave voltage ≥mm in aVL lead, corrected QT interval and QRS-T angle ≥90° were associated with SCD risk at the Bonferroni-adjusted level of significance (P < 0.0033) . Using competing-risk multivariate analysis, QRS-T angle ≥90° only was significantly associated with a higher risk of SCD (sHR 1.63 [1.01-2.62]; P=0.045) but interestingly not with non-SCD (sHR 1.02 [0.78-1.33], P=0.87) . Discrimination of SCD prediction model was improved by QRS-T angle beyond multivariate Cox model parameters (C-statistic improved from 0.798 to 0.805, P<0.0001) .

ECG-derived QRS-T angle is an independent predictor of SCD in patients with T2D and improves SCD-risk model prediction accuracy.

Disclosure

R.Garcia: Other Relationship; Abbott, Boston Scientific Corporation, Medtronic, Microport. The surdiagene study group: n/a. M.Tavernier: None. E.Gand: None. J.De keizer: None. B.Alos: None. C.Bouleti: Consultant; AstraZeneca, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, Research Support; Pfizer Inc. B.Degand: None. S.Hadjadj: Consultant; Abbott Diabetes, AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim International GmbH, Eli Lilly and Company, Novartis AG, Novo Nordisk, Sanofi, Servier Laboratories, Valbiotis, Other Relationship; Janssen Pharmaceuticals, Inc. P.Saulnier: Consultant; Grünenthal Group, Research Support; AstraZeneca, Novo Nordisk, Sanofi.

Readers may use this article as long as the work is properly cited, the use is educational and not for profit, and the work is not altered. More information is available at http://www.diabetesjournals.org/content/license.