Background: SGLT2 inhibitors show promising associations with decreased dementia risk. However, it is unclear which population subgroups would benefit the most.

Methods: Using electronic health records data from the OneFlorida+ Clinical Research Network, we identified individuals with T2D (aged ≥ 50 years) who initiated SGLT2 inhibitors or sulfonylureas from Jan 1, 2016 - Jan 31, 2022. The study outcome was incident dementia. We applied a causal machine learning approach - doubly robust learning - to estimate the conditional average treatment effects (CATE) in the overall cohort and heterogeneous treatment effect subgroups using a summary decision tree model.

Results: Among 36,756 individuals with T2D, 3.2% in the SGLT2 inhibitor group and 6.4% in the sulfonylureas group developed dementia over a 3.4-year follow-up. In the overall cohort, SGLT2 inhibitors were associated with a lower risk of dementia (Risk Difference [RD], -10.3%; 95% confidence interval [CI], -12.0% to -8.6%) compared to sulfonylureas. We identified four subgroups with varying risks for dementia, determined by traumatic brain injury, ever-smoking, and epilepsy (Figure).

Conclusion: SGLT2 inhibitors were associated with a lower risk of dementia in people with T2D compared to sulfonylureas, with significant variability across subgroups.

Disclosure

H.Tang: None. C.Shaaban: None. Y.Wu: None. T.Magoc: None. W.T.Donahoo: None. S.T.Dekosky: Advisory Panel; Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Cognition Therapeutics, Other Relationship; Biogen, Prevail Pharmaceuticals, UpToDate, Up-To-Date. J.Bian: None. J.Guo: Consultant; Pfizer Inc., Research Support; PhRMA Foundation, NIH - National Institutes of Health.

Funding

National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (R01DK133465)

Readers may use this article as long as the work is properly cited, the use is educational and not for profit, and the work is not altered. More information is available at http://www.diabetesjournals.org/content/license.