Introduction & Objective: As the prevalence of type 2 diabetes in young adults is increasing, predicting and preventing it has become a significant challenge. We aimed to evaluate whether the persistence of high triglyceride-to-HDL cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio, which is a marker for insulin resistance, is associated with type 2 diabetes in young adults, considering the variability in TG/HDL-C levels over time.

Methods: This study used data from South Korea National Health Insurance Service between 2009 and 2012. A total of 1,840,251 young adults without type 2 diabetes aged 20-39 years who had undergone four consecutive annual health checkups were included. Participants were classified into five groups based on the exposure score of high TG/HDL-C ratio over a four-year period: 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4. A TG/HDL-C ratio of ≥2.8 in male and ≥1.7 in female was defined as high TG/HDL-C ratio. The risk for developing type 2 diabetes according to different exposure scores was evaluated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model.

Results: During a follow-up period of 6.53 years, 40,286 (2.2%) participants developed type 2 diabetes. The cumulative incidence of type 2 diabetes significantly increased with higher TG/HDL-C ratio exposure scores (log-rank test, P < 0.001). The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for type 2 diabetes were 1.557 (95% CI, 1.463, 1.657), 2.046 (95% CI, 1.929, 2.171), 2.857 (95% CI, 2.707, 3.016), and 4.8 (95% CI, 4.563, 5.048) for groups with scores 1-4, respectively, compared with those with a score of 0.

Conclusion: In this large-scale prospective cohort study of young adults, cumulative exposure to high TG/HDL-C ratio was an independent risk factor for type 2 diabetes in young adults.

Disclosure

M. Lee: None. K. Han: None. J. Heo: None. B. Kim: None.

Funding

the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) grant funded by the Korea government (MSIT) (2022R1F1A061069).

Readers may use this article as long as the work is properly cited, the use is educational and not for profit, and the work is not altered. More information is available at http://www.diabetesjournals.org/content/license.