Table 3

Results of base-case lifetime CEA

ControlCGM
Lifetime probability of   
 Diabetic retinopathy, %   
  Background  33.5 27.3 
  Proliferative  28.9 24.6 
 Macular edema, % 8.4 6.4 
 Blindness, % 1.9 1.8 
 Macroalbuminuria, % 19.7 17.2 
 End-stage renal disease, % 11.7 10.1 
 Neuropathy, % 33.2 27.3 
 Amputation, % 8.1 7.1 
 Myocardial infarction, % 37.8 37.0 
 Stroke, % 7.2 7.0 
 Angina, % 20.6 20.6 
 Heart failure, % 11.1 10.7 
Expected life–years 24.29 25.01 
 Difference in expected life-years 0.72 
Discounted QALYs, means 12.78 13.32 
 Difference in QALYs, mean 0.54 
Discounted total costs, mean 305,278 360,486 
 Difference in costs, mean 55,208 
ICER, mean (95% CI*98,108 (90,298–105,144) 
ControlCGM
Lifetime probability of   
 Diabetic retinopathy, %   
  Background  33.5 27.3 
  Proliferative  28.9 24.6 
 Macular edema, % 8.4 6.4 
 Blindness, % 1.9 1.8 
 Macroalbuminuria, % 19.7 17.2 
 End-stage renal disease, % 11.7 10.1 
 Neuropathy, % 33.2 27.3 
 Amputation, % 8.1 7.1 
 Myocardial infarction, % 37.8 37.0 
 Stroke, % 7.2 7.0 
 Angina, % 20.6 20.6 
 Heart failure, % 11.1 10.7 
Expected life–years 24.29 25.01 
 Difference in expected life-years 0.72 
Discounted QALYs, means 12.78 13.32 
 Difference in QALYs, mean 0.54 
Discounted total costs, mean 305,278 360,486 
 Difference in costs, mean 55,208 
ICER, mean (95% CI*98,108 (90,298–105,144) 

*CI of the mean. The CI was calculated by bootstrapping simulation samples (each simulation scenario consists of 2,000,000 simulation samples (1,000,000 for each study arm), which were created by first generating 1,000 sample patients and then simulating their lifetime each 1,000 times per study arm).

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