Table 1—

Baseline BMI, waist circumference, and RR of type 2 diabetes in the Nurses’ Health Study from 1986 through 2002

BMI (kg/m2) (n = 68,907)
<2121–22.923–24.925–26.927–29.930–32.933–34.935–39.940P for trend
n 95 224 438 555 944 730 328 482 234  
Person-years (1,034,808 ) 165,274 229,913 224,553 150,502 137,714 67,443 22,615 26,277 10,567  
Age-adjusted RR (95% CI) 1.00 1.68 (1.32–2.13) 3.32 (2.66–4.14) 6.26 (5.04–7.79) 11.67 (9.45–14.41) 18.62 (15.04–23.07) 25.31 (20.14–31.81) 32.56 (26.12–40.57) 40.28 (31.73–51.13) <0.001 
Multivariate RR (95% CI)* 1.00 1.65 (1.30–2.10) 3.10 (2.48–3.87) 5.51 (4.43–6.86) 9.80 (7.93–12.11) 14.83 (11.96–18.39) 19.11 (15.19–24.06) 23.98 (19.21–29.95) 27.96 (21.97–35.58) <0.001 
BMI (kg/m2) (n = 68,907)
<2121–22.923–24.925–26.927–29.930–32.933–34.935–39.940P for trend
n 95 224 438 555 944 730 328 482 234  
Person-years (1,034,808 ) 165,274 229,913 224,553 150,502 137,714 67,443 22,615 26,277 10,567  
Age-adjusted RR (95% CI) 1.00 1.68 (1.32–2.13) 3.32 (2.66–4.14) 6.26 (5.04–7.79) 11.67 (9.45–14.41) 18.62 (15.04–23.07) 25.31 (20.14–31.81) 32.56 (26.12–40.57) 40.28 (31.73–51.13) <0.001 
Multivariate RR (95% CI)* 1.00 1.65 (1.30–2.10) 3.10 (2.48–3.87) 5.51 (4.43–6.86) 9.80 (7.93–12.11) 14.83 (11.96–18.39) 19.11 (15.19–24.06) 23.98 (19.21–29.95) 27.96 (21.97–35.58) <0.001 
Waist circumference (inches) (n = 43,986)
20–2828–29.930–31.932–34.9≥35P for trend
n 58 156 248 584 1,096  
Person-years (664,976 ) 149,922 156,197 125,540 131,638 101,633  
Age-adjusted RR (95% CI) 1.00 2.55 (1.89–3.45) 5.03 (3.78–6.69) 11.25 (8.58–14.75) 27.69 (21.24–36.09) <0.001 
Multivariate RR (95% CI)* 1.00 2.48 (1.83–3.35) 4.62 (3.47–6.15) 9.51 (7.25–12.47) 21.44 (16.42–28.00) <0.001 
Waist circumference (inches) (n = 43,986)
20–2828–29.930–31.932–34.9≥35P for trend
n 58 156 248 584 1,096  
Person-years (664,976 ) 149,922 156,197 125,540 131,638 101,633  
Age-adjusted RR (95% CI) 1.00 2.55 (1.89–3.45) 5.03 (3.78–6.69) 11.25 (8.58–14.75) 27.69 (21.24–36.09) <0.001 
Multivariate RR (95% CI)* 1.00 2.48 (1.83–3.35) 4.62 (3.47–6.15) 9.51 (7.25–12.47) 21.44 (16.42–28.00) <0.001 
*

Adjusted for age (<49, 50–54, 55–59, 60–64, and 65 years), smoking status (never, past, or current [1–14, 15–24, or 25 cigarettes/day]), family history of diabetes, postmenopausal status and hormone use (pre- and postmenopausal status and hormone use as never, past, or current), physical activity (quintiles), and alcohol consumption (0, 0.1–4.9, 5–14.9, or 15 g/day).

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